Capraia Isola: which weather forecast is most accurate
Data come from the province of Livorno (reference capital: Livorno), combined with nearby provinces weighted by distance. Over the last two weeks, Meteo Aeronautica Militare got it wrong least often in this area (63/100).
No weather alerts today for Capraia Isola · Source: Italian Civil Protection Department
Most accurate in this area, last 2 weeks
Meteo Aeronautica Militare
At the province level
Rain nearby, right now
The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Capraia Isola, with light intensity.
Observed data from the latest radar sweep (10:40) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection
Yesterday in Livorno
Observed data for 11 OctoberThe reference provincial capital for Capraia Isola is Livorno
How we calculate the score
Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services with data measured in the provincial capitals. The score runs from 0 to 100 and covers the last 14 days: 75% is about forecasting rain and 25% about temperature. Capraia Isola is not a measuring point: the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by distance.
How much each province counts
For this town the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by geographic distance.
Provinces considered:
Weather service ranking for this area
- 1Meteo Aeronautica Militare63/100
- 2Apple Weather62/100No public website
- 33BMeteo62/100
- 4Meteo.it56/100
- 5iLMeteo.it40/100
Yesterday's report card
11 OctoberForecasts made the day before for Livorno, compared with what actually happened
- Meteo Aeronautica MilitareHighspot onLowcloseRaincorrect
- Apple WeatherHighspot onLowoffRaincorrect
- 3BMeteoHighspot onLowoffRainwrong
- Meteo.itHighcloseLowcloseRainwrong
- iLMeteo.itHighoffLowcloseRainwrong
Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees
Ongoing streaks
- Meteo Aeronautica Militare has nailed the high for 5 days in a row
- 3BMeteo has nailed the high for 5 days in a row
- Meteo Aeronautica Militare has called the rain right for 5 days in a row
The situation around Capraia Isola
A wet week around Livorno, with frequent precipitation. Leading for the Capraia Isola area over the last 14 days is Meteo Aeronautica Militare, although its lead over the runner-up is under 3 points. For rain alone, the most accurate service in the provincial capital is Apple Weather, while a third service leads on temperatures. Gentle breezes, with no notable gusts. Yesterday's report card reshuffled the order: the week's No. 4 finished No. 2. Campo nell'Elba is the exception: a different service leads there. In wet weeks like this one, rain forecasts matter most: they account for three quarters of the score.
Updated on 13 October 2026
Sun and moon today
3 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 5% illuminated
Map of Capraia Isola
Loading map…
Nearby towns
Get to know Capraia Isola
Over the last two months, next-day forecasts for the Livorno area had an average accuracy index of 61 out of 100 (average across all services). It is among the hardest areas to forecast in Italy: ranked 100 of 107.
Average accuracy by how far ahead the forecast is made:
- For tomorrow61/100 · fairly reliable
- 2 days ahead61/100 · fairly reliable
- 5 days ahead58/100 · fairly reliable