Marciana Marina: which weather forecast is most accurate
Data come from the province of Livorno (reference capital: Livorno), combined with nearby provinces weighted by distance. Over the last two weeks, Meteo Aeronautica Militare got it wrong least often in this area (58/100).
No weather alerts today for Marciana Marina · Source: Italian Civil Protection Department
Most accurate in this area, last 2 weeks
Meteo Aeronautica Militare
At the province level
Rain nearby, right now
The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Marciana Marina, with light intensity.
Observed data from the latest radar sweep (16:45) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection
Yesterday in Livorno
Observed data for 12 OctoberThe reference provincial capital for Marciana Marina is Livorno
How we calculate the score
Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services with data measured in the provincial capitals. The score runs from 0 to 100 and covers the last 14 days: 75% is about forecasting rain and 25% about temperature. Marciana Marina is not a measuring point: the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by distance.
How much each province counts
For this town the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by geographic distance.
Provinces considered:
Weather service ranking for this area
- 1Meteo Aeronautica Militare58/100
- 23BMeteo58/100
- 3Apple Weather57/100No public website
- 4Meteo.it54/100
- 5iLMeteo.it36/100
Yesterday's report card
12 OctoberForecasts made the day before for Livorno, compared with what actually happened
- Meteo.itHighcloseLowcloseRaincorrect
- 3BMeteoHighspot onLowoffRaincorrect
- Apple WeatherHighspot onLowcloseRainwrong
- Meteo Aeronautica MilitareHighspot onLowoffRainwrong
- iLMeteo.itHighoffLowcloseRainwrong
Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees
Ongoing streaks
- Meteo Aeronautica Militare has nailed the high for 6 days in a row
- 3BMeteo has nailed the high for 6 days in a row
- Apple Weather has nailed the high for 3 days in a row
The situation around Marciana Marina
Rain on a good share of the days around Livorno over the last seven days. The 14-day ranking for the Marciana Marina area is very tight: Meteo Aeronautica Militare leads by less than 3 points over the runner-up. On rain alone, Apple Weather does better in the provincial capital's data; on temperatures, yet another service is the most accurate. Moderate and fairly steady wind through the week. On yesterday's report card for the provincial capital, the service ranked No. 3 over the week finished No. 1. Capoliveri is the exception: a different service leads there. In wet weeks like this one, rain forecasts matter most: they account for three quarters of the score.
Updated on 13 October 2026
Sun and moon today
3 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 5% illuminated
Map of Marciana Marina
Loading map…
Nearby towns
Get to know Marciana Marina
Over the last two months, next-day forecasts for the Livorno area had an average accuracy index of 61 out of 100 (average across all services). It is among the hardest areas to forecast in Italy: ranked 100 of 107.
Average accuracy by how far ahead the forecast is made:
- For tomorrow61/100 · fairly reliable
- 2 days ahead61/100 · fairly reliable
- 5 days ahead58/100 · fairly reliable