Marciana: which weather forecast is most accurate
Data come from the province of Livorno (reference capital: Livorno), combined with nearby provinces weighted by distance. Over the last two weeks, Apple Weather got it wrong least often in this area (63/100).
No weather alerts today for Marciana · Source: Italian Civil Protection Department
Most accurate in this area, last 2 weeks
Apple Weather
At the province level
Rain nearby, right now
The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Marciana, with light intensity.
Observed data from the latest radar sweep (10:35) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection
Yesterday in Livorno
Observed data for 11 OctoberThe reference provincial capital for Marciana is Livorno
How we calculate the score
Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services with data measured in the provincial capitals. The score runs from 0 to 100 and covers the last 14 days: 75% is about forecasting rain and 25% about temperature. Marciana is not a measuring point: the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by distance.
How much each province counts
For this town the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by geographic distance.
Provinces considered:
Weather service ranking for this area
- 1Apple Weather63/100No public website
- 23BMeteo62/100
- 3Meteo Aeronautica Militare62/100
- 4Meteo.it56/100
- 5iLMeteo.it40/100
Yesterday's report card
11 OctoberForecasts made the day before for Livorno, compared with what actually happened
- Meteo Aeronautica MilitareHighspot onLowcloseRaincorrect
- Apple WeatherHighspot onLowoffRaincorrect
- 3BMeteoHighspot onLowoffRainwrong
- Meteo.itHighcloseLowcloseRainwrong
- iLMeteo.itHighoffLowcloseRainwrong
Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees
Ongoing streaks
- Meteo Aeronautica Militare has nailed the high for 5 days in a row
- 3BMeteo has nailed the high for 5 days in a row
- Meteo Aeronautica Militare has called the rain right for 5 days in a row
The situation around Marciana
Around Livorno, precipitation was frequent over the past week. Leading for the Marciana area over the last 14 days is Apple Weather, although its lead over the runner-up is under 3 points. On temperatures alone, however, 3BMeteo is more accurate in the provincial capital's data. Little wind: light breezes on most days. Capoliveri is the exception: a different service leads there.
Updated on 13 October 2026
Sun and moon today
3 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 5% illuminated
Map of Marciana
Loading map…
Nearby towns
Get to know Marciana
Over the last two months, next-day forecasts for the Livorno area had an average accuracy index of 61 out of 100 (average across all services). It is among the hardest areas to forecast in Italy: ranked 100 of 107.
Average accuracy by how far ahead the forecast is made:
- For tomorrow61/100 · fairly reliable
- 2 days ahead61/100 · fairly reliable
- 5 days ahead58/100 · fairly reliable