Meteare
Back to the province of Terni

Montefranco: which weather forecast is most accurate

Data come from the province of Terni (reference capital: Terni), combined with nearby provinces weighted by distance. Over the last two weeks, Meteo Aeronautica Militare got it wrong least often in this area (78/100).

Earthquakes · Montefranco Air quality · Montefranco

No weather alerts today for Montefranco · Source: Italian Civil Protection Department

Most accurate in this area, last 2 weeks

Meteo Aeronautica Militare

Matches the most accurate service in the province
Data updated on 12 October 2026 at 14:48

At the province level

Catches 80% of actual rainfall
When it forecasts rain, it gets it right 100% of the time
Across 5 rainy days

Rain nearby, right now

The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Montefranco, with light intensity.

Observed data from the latest radar sweep (11:20) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection

Yesterday in Terni

Observed data for 11 October
23°
High
13°
Low
No rain
Coldest provincial capital in the region

The reference provincial capital for Montefranco is Terni

How we calculate the score

Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services with data measured in the provincial capitals. The score runs from 0 to 100 and covers the last 14 days: 75% is about forecasting rain and 25% about temperature. Montefranco is not a measuring point: the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by distance.

How we measure accuracy
How much each province counts

For this town the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by geographic distance.

Provinces considered:

TR57%RI18%PG7%VT5%RM3%+3 more

Weather service ranking for this area

  1. 1
    Meteo Aeronautica Militare
    78/100
    meteoam.it(opens in a new tab)
  2. 2
    3BMeteo
    67/100
    3bmeteo.com(opens in a new tab)
  3. 3
    Apple Weather
    65/100
    No public website
  4. 4
    Meteo.it
    65/100
    meteo.it(opens in a new tab)
  5. 5
    iLMeteo.it
    44/100
    ilmeteo.it(opens in a new tab)

Yesterday's report card

11 October

Forecasts made the day before for Terni, compared with what actually happened

Meteo.itWinner of the day
  • Meteo.it
    Highspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
  • 3BMeteo
    Highspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
  • iLMeteo.it
    HighcloseLowspot onRaincorrect
  • Meteo Aeronautica Militare
    Highspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
  • Apple Weather
    HighcloseLowspot onRaincorrect

Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees

Ongoing streaks

  • iLMeteo.it has nailed the low for 4 days in a row
  • Meteo Aeronautica Militare has called the rain right for 4 days in a row
  • Meteo.it has called the rain right for 4 days in a row

The situation around Montefranco

A wet week around Terni, with frequent precipitation. Over the last 14 days, Meteo Aeronautica Militare has the highest score for the Montefranco area, 12 points ahead of the runner-up. Gentle breezes, with no notable gusts. On yesterday's report card for the provincial capital, the service ranked No. 3 over the week finished No. 1. Nearby municipalities (Arrone, Ferentillo) have the same service in first place.

Updated on 13 October 2026

Sun and moon today

07:19
Sunrise
18:30
Sunset
11h 12m
Daylight

3 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday

Waxing crescent, 5% illuminated

Map of Montefranco

Loading map…

Nearby towns

Arrone
4.9 km
Ferentillo
5.2 km
Terni
8.2 km
Polino
9.1 km

Localities in Montefranco

Capitignano
Casa Cantoniera
Fontechiaruccia
I Monti
Montefranco
Varcone

Get to know Montefranco

Over the last two months, next-day forecasts for the Terni area had an average accuracy index of 68 out of 100 (average across all services). It is among the hardest areas to forecast in Italy: ranked 69 of 107.

Average accuracy by how far ahead the forecast is made:

  • For tomorrow
    68/100 · fairly reliable
  • 2 days ahead
    69/100 · fairly reliable
  • 5 days ahead
    64/100 · fairly reliable
1,289
Inhabitants
055019
ISTAT code
Terni (TR) • Umbria