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Back to the province of Terni

Polino: which weather forecast is most accurate

Data come from the province of Terni (reference capital: Terni), combined with nearby provinces weighted by distance. Over the last two weeks, Meteo Aeronautica Militare got it wrong least often in this area (78/100).

Earthquakes · Polino Air quality · Polino

No weather alerts today for Polino · Source: Italian Civil Protection Department

Most accurate in this area, last 2 weeks

Meteo Aeronautica Militare

Matches the most accurate service in the province
Data updated on 12 October 2026 at 14:48

At the province level

Catches 80% of actual rainfall
When it forecasts rain, it gets it right 100% of the time
Across 5 rainy days

Rain nearby, right now

The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Polino, with light intensity.

Observed data from the latest radar sweep (11:20) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection

Yesterday in Terni

Observed data for 11 October
23°
High
13°
Low
No rain
Coldest provincial capital in the region

The reference provincial capital for Polino is Terni

How we calculate the score

Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services with data measured in the provincial capitals. The score runs from 0 to 100 and covers the last 14 days: 75% is about forecasting rain and 25% about temperature. Polino is not a measuring point: the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by distance.

How we measure accuracy
How much each province counts

For this town the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by geographic distance.

Provinces considered:

TR50%RI25%PG6%VT5%RM4%+3 more

Weather service ranking for this area

  1. 1
    Meteo Aeronautica Militare
    78/100
    meteoam.it(opens in a new tab)
  2. 2
    3BMeteo
    67/100
    3bmeteo.com(opens in a new tab)
  3. 3
    Apple Weather
    65/100
    No public website
  4. 4
    Meteo.it
    65/100
    meteo.it(opens in a new tab)
  5. 5
    iLMeteo.it
    45/100
    ilmeteo.it(opens in a new tab)

Yesterday's report card

11 October

Forecasts made the day before for Terni, compared with what actually happened

Meteo.itWinner of the day
  • Meteo.it
    Highspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
  • 3BMeteo
    Highspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
  • iLMeteo.it
    HighcloseLowspot onRaincorrect
  • Meteo Aeronautica Militare
    Highspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
  • Apple Weather
    HighcloseLowspot onRaincorrect

Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees

Ongoing streaks

  • iLMeteo.it has nailed the low for 4 days in a row
  • Meteo Aeronautica Militare has called the rain right for 4 days in a row
  • Meteo.it has called the rain right for 4 days in a row

The situation around Polino

Rain on a good share of the days around Terni over the last seven days. Meteo Aeronautica Militare leads the 14-day ranking for the Polino area by a wide margin: 11 points over the runner-up. Little wind: light breezes on most days. Yesterday's report card reshuffled the order: the week's No. 3 finished No. 1. Nearby municipalities (Arrone, Ferentillo) have the same service in first place.

Updated on 13 October 2026

Sun and moon today

07:18
Sunrise
18:30
Sunset
11h 12m
Daylight

3 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday

Waxing crescent, 5% illuminated

Map of Polino

Loading map…

Nearby towns

Arrone
5.6 km
Ferentillo
6.2 km
Morro Reatino
6.8 km
Rivodutri
7.6 km

Localities in Polino

Le Ferrare
Polino

Get to know Polino

Over the last two months, next-day forecasts for the Terni area had an average accuracy index of 68 out of 100 (average across all services). It is among the hardest areas to forecast in Italy: ranked 69 of 107.

Average accuracy by how far ahead the forecast is made:

  • For tomorrow
    68/100 · fairly reliable
  • 2 days ahead
    69/100 · fairly reliable
  • 5 days ahead
    64/100 · fairly reliable
246
Inhabitants
055027
ISTAT code
Terni (TR) • Umbria