Panicale: which weather forecast is most accurate
Data come from the province of Perugia (reference capital: Perugia), combined with nearby provinces weighted by distance. Over the last two weeks, Apple Weather got it wrong least often in this area (63/100).
No weather alerts today for Panicale · Source: Italian Civil Protection Department
Most accurate in this area, last 2 weeks
Apple Weather
At the province level
Rain nearby, right now
The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Panicale, with light intensity.
Observed data from the latest radar sweep (09:45) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection
Yesterday in Perugia
Observed data for 11 OctoberThe reference provincial capital for Panicale is Perugia
How we calculate the score
Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services with data measured in the provincial capitals. The score runs from 0 to 100 and covers the last 14 days: 75% is about forecasting rain and 25% about temperature. Panicale is not a measuring point: the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by distance.
How much each province counts
For this town the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by geographic distance.
Provinces considered:
Weather service ranking for this area
- 1Apple Weather63/100No public website
- 2Meteo Aeronautica Militare62/100
- 3Meteo.it56/100
- 43BMeteo55/100
- 5iLMeteo.it47/100
Yesterday's report card
11 OctoberForecasts made the day before for Perugia, compared with what actually happened
- Meteo.itHighspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
- 3BMeteoHighspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
- iLMeteo.itHighcloseLowspot onRaincorrect
- Apple WeatherHighcloseLowspot onRaincorrect
- Meteo Aeronautica MilitareHighcloseLowspot onRaincorrect
Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees
Ongoing streaks
- Meteo.it has nailed the high for 30 days in a row
- Meteo Aeronautica Militare has nailed the low for 10 days in a row
- Meteo.it has nailed the low for 9 days in a row
The situation around Panicale
Rain on a good share of the days around Perugia over the last seven days. Apple Weather tops the 14-day ranking for the Panicale area, but by a minimal margin of under 3 points over the second-placed service. For temperatures, the most accurate service in the provincial capital is iLMeteo.it. Moderate wind on several days. Yesterday's report card reshuffled the order: the week's No. 4 finished No. 2. In nearby municipalities (Paciano, Piegaro) the leading service does not change.
Updated on 13 October 2026
Sun and moon today
3 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 5% illuminated
Map of Panicale
Loading map…
Nearby towns
Localities in Panicale
Get to know Panicale
Over the last two months, next-day forecasts for the Perugia area had an average accuracy index of 70 out of 100 (average across all services). It is among the hardest areas to forecast in Italy: ranked 60 of 107.
Average accuracy by how far ahead the forecast is made:
- For tomorrow70/100 · fairly reliable
- 2 days ahead69/100 · fairly reliable
- 5 days ahead62/100 · fairly reliable