Castiglione del Lago: which weather forecast is most accurate
Data come from the province of Perugia (reference capital: Perugia), combined with nearby provinces weighted by distance. Over the last two weeks, Meteo Aeronautica Militare got it wrong least often in this area (60/100).
No weather alerts today for Castiglione del Lago · Source: Italian Civil Protection Department
Most accurate in this area, last 2 weeks
Meteo Aeronautica Militare
Rain nearby, right now
The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Castiglione del Lago, with light intensity.
Observed data from the latest radar sweep (14:55) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection
Yesterday in Perugia
Observed data for 12 OctoberThe reference provincial capital for Castiglione del Lago is Perugia
How we calculate the score
Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services with data measured in the provincial capitals. The score runs from 0 to 100 and covers the last 14 days: 75% is about forecasting rain and 25% about temperature. Castiglione del Lago is not a measuring point: the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by distance.
How much each province counts
For this town the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by geographic distance.
Provinces considered:
Weather service ranking for this area
- 1Meteo Aeronautica Militare60/100
- 2Apple Weather57/100No public website
- 33BMeteo54/100
- 4Meteo.it53/100
- 5iLMeteo.it48/100
Yesterday's report card
12 OctoberForecasts made the day before for Perugia, compared with what actually happened
- Meteo Aeronautica MilitareHighcloseLowspot onRaincorrect
- 3BMeteoHighcloseLowspot onRainwrong
- iLMeteo.itHighoffLowspot onRaincorrect
- Meteo.itHighcloseLowspot onRainwrong
- Apple WeatherHighoffLowcloseRainwrong
Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees
Ongoing streaks
- Meteo Aeronautica Militare has nailed the low for 11 days in a row
- Meteo.it has nailed the low for 10 days in a row
- 3BMeteo has nailed the low for 7 days in a row
The situation around Castiglione del Lago
Rain on a good share of the days around Perugia over the last seven days. Over the last 14 days, Meteo Aeronautica Militare has the highest score for the Castiglione del Lago area. Rain and temperatures have different winners: in the provincial capital Apple Weather does best on rain, and another service again on temperatures. Moderate and fairly steady wind through the week. Yesterday's report card reshuffled the order: the week's No. 3 finished No. 2. In nearby municipalities (Chiusi, Paciano) the leading service is not always the same. In wet weeks like this one, rain forecasts matter most: they account for three quarters of the score.
Updated on 13 October 2026
Sun and moon today
3 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 5% illuminated
Map of Castiglione del Lago
Loading map…
Nearby towns
Localities in Castiglione del Lago
Get to know Castiglione del Lago
Over the last two months, next-day forecasts for the Perugia area had an average accuracy index of 70 out of 100 (average across all services). It is among the hardest areas to forecast in Italy: ranked 60 of 107.
Average accuracy by how far ahead the forecast is made:
- For tomorrow69/100 · fairly reliable
- 2 days ahead68/100 · fairly reliable
- 5 days ahead61/100 · fairly reliable