Norcia: which weather forecast is most accurate
Data come from the province of Perugia (reference capital: Perugia), combined with nearby provinces weighted by distance. Over the last two weeks, Meteo Aeronautica Militare got it wrong least often in this area (66/100).
No weather alerts today for Norcia · Source: Italian Civil Protection Department
Most accurate in this area, last 2 weeks
Meteo Aeronautica Militare
At the province level
Rain nearby, right now
The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Norcia, with light intensity.
Observed data from the latest radar sweep (11:20) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection
Yesterday in Perugia
Observed data for 11 OctoberThe reference provincial capital for Norcia is Perugia
How we calculate the score
Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services with data measured in the provincial capitals. The score runs from 0 to 100 and covers the last 14 days: 75% is about forecasting rain and 25% about temperature. Norcia is not a measuring point: the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by distance.
How much each province counts
For this town the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by geographic distance.
Provinces considered:
Weather service ranking for this area
- 1Meteo Aeronautica Militare66/100
- 2Apple Weather65/100No public website
- 33BMeteo57/100
- 4Meteo.it55/100
- 5iLMeteo.it44/100
Yesterday's report card
11 OctoberForecasts made the day before for Perugia, compared with what actually happened
- Meteo.itHighspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
- 3BMeteoHighspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
- iLMeteo.itHighcloseLowspot onRaincorrect
- Apple WeatherHighcloseLowspot onRaincorrect
- Meteo Aeronautica MilitareHighcloseLowspot onRaincorrect
Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees
Ongoing streaks
- Meteo.it has nailed the high for 30 days in a row
- Meteo Aeronautica Militare has nailed the low for 10 days in a row
- Meteo.it has nailed the low for 9 days in a row
The situation around Norcia
Around Perugia, precipitation was frequent over the past week. Over the last 14 days, Meteo Aeronautica Militare has the highest score for the Norcia area, but the runner-up is less than 3 points behind: the ranking can change from one day to the next. For rain alone, the most accurate service in the provincial capital is Apple Weather, while a third service leads on temperatures. Moderate and fairly steady wind through the week. Yesterday's report card reshuffled the order: the week's No. 4 finished No. 2. Nearby municipalities (Arquata del Tronto, Cascia) have the same service in first place. Rain makes up three quarters of the score and temperature one quarter: in a week this wet, rain is what makes the difference.
Updated on 13 October 2026
Sun and moon today
3 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 5% illuminated
Map of Norcia
Loading map…
Nearby towns
Localities in Norcia
Get to know Norcia
Over the last two months, next-day forecasts for the Perugia area had an average accuracy index of 70 out of 100 (average across all services). It is among the hardest areas to forecast in Italy: ranked 60 of 107.
Average accuracy by how far ahead the forecast is made:
- For tomorrow70/100 · fairly reliable
- 2 days ahead69/100 · fairly reliable
- 5 days ahead62/100 · fairly reliable