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Back to the province of Perugia

Cascia: which weather forecast is most accurate

Data come from the province of Perugia (reference capital: Perugia), combined with nearby provinces weighted by distance. Over the last two weeks, Meteo Aeronautica Militare got it wrong least often in this area (67/100).

Earthquakes · Cascia Air quality · Cascia

No weather alerts today for Cascia · Source: Italian Civil Protection Department

Most accurate in this area, last 2 weeks

Meteo Aeronautica Militare

Data updated on 12 October 2026 at 14:48

At the province level

Catches 61% of actual rainfall
When it forecasts rain, it gets it right 85% of the time
Across 6 rainy days

Rain nearby, right now

The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Cascia, with light intensity.

Observed data from the latest radar sweep (11:25) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection

Yesterday in Perugia

Observed data for 11 October
24°
High
14°
Low
No rain
Hottest provincial capital in the region

The reference provincial capital for Cascia is Perugia

How we calculate the score

Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services with data measured in the provincial capitals. The score runs from 0 to 100 and covers the last 14 days: 75% is about forecasting rain and 25% about temperature. Cascia is not a measuring point: the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by distance.

How we measure accuracy
How much each province counts

For this town the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by geographic distance.

Provinces considered:

PG50%RI12%AP8%TR7%MC7%+3 more

Weather service ranking for this area

  1. 1
    Meteo Aeronautica Militare
    67/100
    meteoam.it(opens in a new tab)
  2. 2
    Apple Weather
    65/100
    No public website
  3. 3
    3BMeteo
    57/100
    3bmeteo.com(opens in a new tab)
  4. 4
    Meteo.it
    56/100
    meteo.it(opens in a new tab)
  5. 5
    iLMeteo.it
    45/100
    ilmeteo.it(opens in a new tab)

Yesterday's report card

11 October

Forecasts made the day before for Perugia, compared with what actually happened

Meteo.itWinner of the day
  • Meteo.it
    Highspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
  • 3BMeteo
    Highspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
  • iLMeteo.it
    HighcloseLowspot onRaincorrect
  • Apple Weather
    HighcloseLowspot onRaincorrect
  • Meteo Aeronautica Militare
    HighcloseLowspot onRaincorrect

Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees

Ongoing streaks

  • Meteo.it has nailed the high for 30 days in a row
  • Meteo Aeronautica Militare has nailed the low for 10 days in a row
  • Meteo.it has nailed the low for 9 days in a row

The situation around Cascia

Around Perugia, precipitation was frequent over the past week. Meteo Aeronautica Militare tops the 14-day ranking for the Cascia area, but by a minimal margin of under 3 points over the second-placed service. For rain alone, the most accurate service in the provincial capital is Apple Weather, while a third service leads on temperatures. Moderate wind on several days. On yesterday's report card for the provincial capital, the service ranked No. 4 over the week finished No. 2. In nearby municipalities (Monteleone di Spoleto, Cittareale) the leading service does not change. With this much rain, the part of the score that weighs most is the precipitation forecast (three quarters of the total).

Updated on 13 October 2026

Sun and moon today

07:18
Sunrise
18:29
Sunset
11h 11m
Daylight

3 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday

Waxing crescent, 5% illuminated

Map of Cascia

Loading map…

Nearby towns

Monteleone di Spoleto
10.7 km
Cittareale
10.9 km
Poggiodomo
11 km
Norcia
11.6 km

Localities in Cascia

Atri
Avendita
Buda
Capanne di Collegiacone
Capanne di Rocca Porena
Cascia
Cascine di Opagna
Castel San Giovanni
Castel Santa Maria
Cerasola

Get to know Cascia

Over the last two months, next-day forecasts for the Perugia area had an average accuracy index of 70 out of 100 (average across all services). It is among the hardest areas to forecast in Italy: ranked 60 of 107.

Average accuracy by how far ahead the forecast is made:

  • For tomorrow
    70/100 · fairly reliable
  • 2 days ahead
    69/100 · fairly reliable
  • 5 days ahead
    62/100 · fairly reliable
3,248
Inhabitants
054007
ISTAT code
Perugia (PG) • Umbria