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Folgaria: which weather forecast is most accurate

Data come from the province of Trento (reference capital: Trento), combined with nearby provinces weighted by distance. Over the last two weeks, Apple Weather got it wrong least often in this area (52/100).

Earthquakes · Folgaria Air quality · Folgaria

No weather alerts today for Folgaria · Source: Italian Civil Protection Department

Most accurate in this area, last 2 weeks

Apple Weather

Data updated on 13 October 2026 at 14:56

At the province level

Catches 61% of actual rainfall
When it forecasts rain, it gets it right 73% of the time
Across 6 rainy days

Rain nearby, right now

The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Folgaria, with light intensity.

Observed data from the latest radar sweep (08:00) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection

Yesterday in Trento

Observed data for 12 October
8°
High
1°
Low
No rain
Ranks 2 of 107 among Italy's coldest provincial capitals6.9° below the average of its region's capitals

The reference provincial capital for Folgaria is Trento

How we calculate the score

Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services with data measured in the provincial capitals. The score runs from 0 to 100 and covers the last 14 days: 75% is about forecasting rain and 25% about temperature. Folgaria is not a measuring point: the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by distance.

How we measure accuracy
How much each province counts

For this town the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by geographic distance.

Provinces considered:

TN64%VI14%VR6%PD3%TV3%+3 more

Weather service ranking for this area

  1. 1
    Apple Weather
    52/100
    No public website
  2. 2
    iLMeteo.it
    48/100
    ilmeteo.it(opens in a new tab)
  3. 3
    3BMeteo
    46/100
    3bmeteo.com(opens in a new tab)
  4. 4
    Meteo Aeronautica Militare
    41/100
    meteoam.it(opens in a new tab)
  5. 5
    Meteo.it
    40/100
    meteo.it(opens in a new tab)

Yesterday's report card

12 October

Forecasts made the day before for Trento, compared with what actually happened

iLMeteo.itWinner of the day
  • iLMeteo.it
    HighoffLowoffRainwrong
  • Meteo.it
    HighoffLowoffRaincorrect
  • 3BMeteo
    HighoffLowoffRaincorrect
  • Apple Weather
    HighoffLowoffRaincorrect
  • Meteo Aeronautica Militare
    HighoffLowoffRaincorrect

Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees

The situation around Folgaria

Rain on a good share of the days around Trento over the last seven days. Apple Weather leads the 14-day ranking for the Folgaria area. On rain alone, however, iLMeteo.it does better in the provincial capital's data. Strong wind for most of the week, with intense gusts. On yesterday's report card for the provincial capital, the service ranked No. 3 over the week finished No. 2. Nearby municipalities (Lastebasse, Terragnolo) have the same service in first place. Worth noting: yesterday the service ranked last overall was among the two most accurate on the provincial capital's report card. In wet weeks like this one, rain forecasts matter most: they account for three quarters of the score.

Updated on 14 October 2026

Sun and moon today

07:29
Sunrise
18:31
Sunset
11h 2m
Daylight

3 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday

Waxing crescent, 11% illuminated

Map of Folgaria

Loading map…

Nearby towns

Lastebasse
5.4 km
Terragnolo
6.6 km
Lavarone
7 km
Besenello
8 km

Localities in Folgaria

Barco
Bersaglio
Buse
Calchera
Ca' Nove
Carbonare
Cargadore
Carpeneda
Cesura
Coe

Get to know Folgaria

Over the last two months, next-day forecasts for the Trento area had an average accuracy index of 62 out of 100 (average across all services). It is among the hardest areas to forecast in Italy: ranked 97 of 107.

Average accuracy by how far ahead the forecast is made:

  • For tomorrow
    62/100 · fairly reliable
  • 2 days ahead
    63/100 · fairly reliable
  • 5 days ahead
    56/100 · fairly reliable
3,130
Inhabitants
022087
ISTAT code
Trento (TN) • Trentino-Alto Adige