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Lavarone: which weather forecast is most accurate

Data come from the province of Trento (reference capital: Trento), combined with nearby provinces weighted by distance. Over the last two weeks, Apple Weather got it wrong least often in this area (57/100).

Earthquakes · Lavarone Air quality · Lavarone

Yellow alert today for hydrogeological risk and flood risk

Source: Italian Civil Protection Department · 22 October

Most accurate in this area, last 2 weeks

Apple Weather

Data updated on 21 October 2026 at 15:11

At the province level

Catches 62% of actual rainfall
When it forecasts rain, it gets it right 81% of the time
Across 7 rainy days

Rain nearby, right now

The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Lavarone, with light intensity.

Observed data from the latest radar sweep (14:00) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection

Yesterday in Trento

Observed data for 20 October
6°
High
3°
Low
9.4 mm of rain
Ranks 2 of 107 among Italy's coldest provincial capitals5.6° below the average of its region's capitals

The reference provincial capital for Lavarone is Trento

How we calculate the score

Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services with data measured in the provincial capitals. The score runs from 0 to 100 and covers the last 14 days: 75% is about forecasting rain and 25% about temperature. Lavarone is not a measuring point: the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by distance.

How we measure accuracy
How much each province counts

For this town the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by geographic distance.

Provinces considered:

TN65%VI14%VR5%TV4%PD3%+3 more

Weather service ranking for this area

  1. 1
    Apple Weather
    57/100
    No public website
  2. 2
    iLMeteo.it
    50/100
    ilmeteo.it(opens in a new tab)
  3. 3
    3BMeteo
    47/100
    3bmeteo.com(opens in a new tab)
  4. 4
    Meteo.it
    36/100
    meteo.it(opens in a new tab)
  5. 5
    Meteo Aeronautica Militare
    35/100
    meteoam.it(opens in a new tab)

Yesterday's report card

20 October

Forecasts made the day before for Trento, compared with what actually happened

3BMeteoWinner of the day
  • 3BMeteo
    HighoffLowoffRaincorrect
  • iLMeteo.it
    HighoffLowoffRainwrong
  • Meteo.it
    HighoffLowoffRainwrong
  • Meteo Aeronautica Militare
    HighoffLowoffRainwrong
  • Apple Weather
    HighoffLowoffRaincorrect

Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees

The situation around Lavarone

Mostly overcast skies around Trento over the past week, with a few days of rain. The 14-day ranking for the Lavarone area is led by Apple Weather. On rain alone, however, iLMeteo.it does better in the provincial capital's data. Sustained wind for a good part of the week. Yesterday's report card reshuffled the order: the week's No. 3 finished No. 1. The top-ranked service is the same in nearby municipalities too (Luserna, Pedemonte).

Updated on 22 October 2026

Sun and moon today

07:40
Sunrise
18:17
Sunset
10h 37m
Daylight

3 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday

Waxing gibbous, 86% illuminated

Map of Lavarone

Loading map…

Nearby towns

Luserna
3.6 km
Pedemonte
3.9 km
Caldonazzo
4.3 km
Lastebasse
5.5 km

Localities in Lavarone

Albertini
Azzolini
Bertoldi
Cappella
Chelda Platt
Chià perch
Chiesa
el Claf
Gasperi
Gionghi

Get to know Lavarone

Over the last two months, next-day forecasts for the Trento area had an average accuracy index of 62 out of 100 (average across all services). It is among the hardest areas to forecast in Italy: ranked 100 of 107.

Average accuracy by how far ahead the forecast is made:

  • For tomorrow
    62/100 · fairly reliable
  • 2 days ahead
    62/100 · fairly reliable
  • 5 days ahead
    56/100 · fairly reliable
1,087
Inhabitants
022102
ISTAT code
Trento (TN) • Trentino-Alto Adige