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Castello-Molina di Fiemme: which weather forecast is most accurate

Data come from the province of Trento (reference capital: Trento), combined with nearby provinces weighted by distance. Over the last two weeks, Apple Weather got it wrong least often in this area (53/100).

Earthquakes · Castello-Molina di Fiemme Air quality · Castello-Molina di Fiemme

No weather alerts today for Castello-Molina di Fiemme · Source: Italian Civil Protection Department

Most accurate in this area, last 2 weeks

Apple Weather

Data updated on 12 October 2026 at 14:48

At the province level

Catches 61% of actual rainfall
When it forecasts rain, it gets it right 85% of the time
Across 6 rainy days

Rain nearby, right now

The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Castello-Molina di Fiemme, with light intensity.

Observed data from the latest radar sweep (12:25) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection

Yesterday in Trento

Observed data for 11 October
21°
High
3°
Low
1.0 mm of rain
Coldest provincial capital in the region

The reference provincial capital for Castello-Molina di Fiemme is Trento

How we calculate the score

Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services with data measured in the provincial capitals. The score runs from 0 to 100 and covers the last 14 days: 75% is about forecasting rain and 25% about temperature. Castello-Molina di Fiemme is not a measuring point: the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by distance.

How we measure accuracy
How much each province counts

For this town the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by geographic distance.

Provinces considered:

TN66%BZ11%BL7%VI5%TV4%+3 more

Weather service ranking for this area

  1. 1
    Apple Weather
    53/100
    No public website
  2. 2
    iLMeteo.it
    52/100
    ilmeteo.it(opens in a new tab)
  3. 3
    3BMeteo
    47/100
    3bmeteo.com(opens in a new tab)
  4. 4
    Meteo.it
    41/100
    meteo.it(opens in a new tab)
  5. 5
    Meteo Aeronautica Militare
    40/100
    meteoam.it(opens in a new tab)

Yesterday's report card

11 October

Forecasts made the day before for Trento, compared with what actually happened

iLMeteo.itWinner of the day
  • iLMeteo.it
    HighcloseLowoffRaincorrect
  • Meteo.it
    Highspot onLowoffRainwrong
  • Apple Weather
    Highspot onLowoffRainwrong
  • 3BMeteo
    Highspot onLowoffRainwrong
  • Meteo Aeronautica Militare
    Highspot onLowoffRainwrong

Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees

Ongoing streaks

  • iLMeteo.it has called the rain right for 4 days in a row

The situation around Castello-Molina di Fiemme

A rainy week around Trento: rain fell on several of the last seven days. The 14-day ranking for the Castello-Molina di Fiemme area is very tight: Apple Weather leads by less than 3 points over the runner-up. On rain alone, however, iLMeteo.it does better in the provincial capital's data. Sustained wind for a good part of the week. Yesterday's report card reshuffled the order: the week's No. 4 finished No. 2. Sover is the exception: a different service leads there. In wet weeks like this one, rain forecasts matter most: they account for three quarters of the score.

Updated on 13 October 2026

Sun and moon today

07:28
Sunrise
18:32
Sunset
11h 4m
Daylight

3 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday

Waxing crescent, 5% illuminated

Map of Castello-Molina di Fiemme

Loading map…

Nearby towns

Valfloriana
3.6 km
Cavalese
5.2 km
Sover
7.2 km
Anterivo
7.4 km

Localities in Castello-Molina di Fiemme

Al Confin
Alla Foce
Arodolo
Bersaglio
Brozzin
Cadinello Alta
Campiol delle Stellune
Canton
Castello di Fiemme
Cazorga Bassa

Get to know Castello-Molina di Fiemme

Over the last two months, next-day forecasts for the Trento area had an average accuracy index of 63 out of 100 (average across all services). It is among the hardest areas to forecast in Italy: ranked 94 of 107.

Average accuracy by how far ahead the forecast is made:

  • For tomorrow
    63/100 · fairly reliable
  • 2 days ahead
    63/100 · fairly reliable
  • 5 days ahead
    57/100 · fairly reliable
2,267
Inhabitants
022047
ISTAT code
Trento (TN) • Trentino-Alto Adige