Vaiano: which weather forecast is most accurate
Data come from the province of Prato (reference capital: Prato), combined with nearby provinces weighted by distance. Over the last two weeks, 3BMeteo got it wrong least often in this area (72/100).
No weather alerts today for Vaiano · Source: Italian Civil Protection Department
Most accurate in this area, last 2 weeks
3BMeteo
At the province level
Rain nearby, right now
The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Vaiano, with light intensity.
Observed data from the latest radar sweep (12:05) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection
Yesterday in Prato
Observed data for 11 OctoberThe reference provincial capital for Vaiano is Prato
How we calculate the score
Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services with data measured in the provincial capitals. The score runs from 0 to 100 and covers the last 14 days: 75% is about forecasting rain and 25% about temperature. Vaiano is not a measuring point: the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by distance.
How much each province counts
For this town the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by geographic distance.
Provinces considered:
Weather service ranking for this area
- 13BMeteo72/100
- 2Apple Weather70/100No public website
- 3Meteo Aeronautica Militare61/100
- 4Meteo.it54/100
- 5iLMeteo.it53/100
Yesterday's report card
11 OctoberForecasts made the day before for Prato, compared with what actually happened
- 3BMeteoHighspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
- Meteo Aeronautica MilitareHighspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
- Apple WeatherHighspot onLowcloseRaincorrect
- Meteo.itHighspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
- iLMeteo.itHighoffLowcloseRaincorrect
Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees
Ongoing streaks
- 3BMeteo has nailed the high for 24 days in a row
- Meteo Aeronautica Militare has nailed the high for 24 days in a row
- Meteo.it has nailed the high for 15 days in a row
The situation around Vaiano
Rain on a good share of the days around Prato over the last seven days. Over the last 14 days, 3BMeteo has the highest score for the Vaiano area, but the runner-up is less than 3 points behind: the ranking can change from one day to the next. On rain alone, Apple Weather does better in the provincial capital's data; on temperatures, yet another service is the most accurate. Light wind for most of the week. Yesterday, in the check on the provincial capital, the week's No. 4 moved up to No. 3. In nearby municipalities (Montemurlo, Calenzano) the leading service does not change. In wet weeks like this one, rain forecasts matter most: they account for three quarters of the score.
Updated on 13 October 2026
Sun and moon today
3 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 5% illuminated
Map of Vaiano
Loading map…
Nearby towns
Localities in Vaiano
Get to know Vaiano
Over the last two months, next-day forecasts for the Prato area had an average accuracy index of 67 out of 100 (average across all services). It is among the hardest areas to forecast in Italy: ranked 72 of 107.
Average accuracy by how far ahead the forecast is made:
- For tomorrow67/100 · fairly reliable
- 2 days ahead68/100 · fairly reliable
- 5 days ahead64/100 · fairly reliable