Montemurlo: which weather forecast is most accurate
Data come from the province of Prato (reference capital: Prato), combined with nearby provinces weighted by distance. Over the last two weeks, 3BMeteo got it wrong least often in this area (72/100).
No weather alerts today for Montemurlo · Source: Italian Civil Protection Department
Most accurate in this area, last 2 weeks
3BMeteo
At the province level
Rain nearby, right now
The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Montemurlo, with light intensity.
Observed data from the latest radar sweep (09:50) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection
Yesterday in Prato
Observed data for 11 OctoberThe reference provincial capital for Montemurlo is Prato
How we calculate the score
Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services with data measured in the provincial capitals. The score runs from 0 to 100 and covers the last 14 days: 75% is about forecasting rain and 25% about temperature. Montemurlo is not a measuring point: the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by distance.
How much each province counts
For this town the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by geographic distance.
Provinces considered:
Weather service ranking for this area
- 13BMeteo72/100
- 2Apple Weather70/100No public website
- 3Meteo Aeronautica Militare61/100
- 4Meteo.it54/100
- 5iLMeteo.it53/100
Yesterday's report card
11 OctoberForecasts made the day before for Prato, compared with what actually happened
- 3BMeteoHighspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
- Meteo Aeronautica MilitareHighspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
- Apple WeatherHighspot onLowcloseRaincorrect
- Meteo.itHighspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
- iLMeteo.itHighoffLowcloseRaincorrect
Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees
Ongoing streaks
- 3BMeteo has nailed the high for 24 days in a row
- Meteo Aeronautica Militare has nailed the high for 24 days in a row
- Meteo.it has nailed the high for 15 days in a row
The situation around Montemurlo
A rainy week around Prato: rain fell on several of the last seven days. 3BMeteo tops the 14-day ranking for the Montemurlo area, but by a minimal margin of under 3 points over the second-placed service. For rain alone, the most accurate service in the provincial capital is Apple Weather, while a third service leads on temperatures. Little wind: light breezes on most days. Yesterday, in the check on the provincial capital, the week's No. 4 moved up to No. 3. Among nearby municipalities (Montale, Agliana) the ranking changes from one to the next. Rain makes up three quarters of the score and temperature one quarter: in a week this wet, rain is what makes the difference.
Updated on 13 October 2026
Sun and moon today
3 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 5% illuminated
Map of Montemurlo
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Nearby towns
Localities in Montemurlo
Get to know Montemurlo
Over the last two months, next-day forecasts for the Prato area had an average accuracy index of 67 out of 100 (average across all services). It is among the hardest areas to forecast in Italy: ranked 72 of 107.
Average accuracy by how far ahead the forecast is made:
- For tomorrow67/100 · fairly reliable
- 2 days ahead68/100 · fairly reliable
- 5 days ahead64/100 · fairly reliable