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Bagni di Lucca: which weather forecast is most accurate

Data come from the province of Lucca (reference capital: Lucca), combined with nearby provinces weighted by distance. Over the last two weeks, 3BMeteo got it wrong least often in this area (67/100).

Earthquakes · Bagni di Lucca Air quality · Bagni di Lucca

No weather alerts today for Bagni di Lucca · Source: Italian Civil Protection Department

Most accurate in this area, last 2 weeks

3BMeteo

Matches the most accurate service in the province
Data updated on 13 October 2026 at 14:56

At the province level

Catches 60% of actual rainfall
When it forecasts rain, it gets it right 100% of the time
Across 5 rainy days

Rain nearby, right now

The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Bagni di Lucca, with light intensity.

Observed data from the latest radar sweep (16:00) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection

Yesterday in Lucca

Observed data for 12 October
24°
High
10°
Low
9.8 mm of rain
Coldest provincial capital in the region

The reference provincial capital for Bagni di Lucca is Lucca

How we calculate the score

Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services with data measured in the provincial capitals. The score runs from 0 to 100 and covers the last 14 days: 75% is about forecasting rain and 25% about temperature. Bagni di Lucca is not a measuring point: the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by distance.

How we measure accuracy
How much each province counts

For this town the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by geographic distance.

Provinces considered:

LU72%PT14%PO4%MS2%PI2%+3 more

Weather service ranking for this area

  1. 1
    3BMeteo
    67/100
    3bmeteo.com(opens in a new tab)
  2. 2
    Meteo Aeronautica Militare
    59/100
    meteoam.it(opens in a new tab)
  3. 3
    Meteo.it
    52/100
    meteo.it(opens in a new tab)
  4. 4
    Apple Weather
    52/100
    No public website
  5. 5
    iLMeteo.it
    33/100
    ilmeteo.it(opens in a new tab)

Yesterday's report card

12 October

Forecasts made the day before for Lucca, compared with what actually happened

Meteo.itWinner of the day
  • Meteo.it
    Highspot onLowcloseRaincorrect
  • Meteo Aeronautica Militare
    Highspot onLowoffRaincorrect
  • 3BMeteo
    Highspot onLowoffRaincorrect
  • Apple Weather
    HighcloseLowspot onRainwrong
  • iLMeteo.it
    HighoffLowcloseRainwrong

Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees

Ongoing streaks

  • 3BMeteo has nailed the high for 7 days in a row
  • Meteo Aeronautica Militare has nailed the high for 5 days in a row

The situation around Bagni di Lucca

A rainy week around Lucca: rain fell on several of the last seven days. The 14-day ranking for the Bagni di Lucca area is led by 3BMeteo. The wind made itself felt at moderate strength. On yesterday's report card for the provincial capital, the service ranked No. 3 over the week finished No. 1. Nearby municipalities (Coreglia Antelminelli, Abetone Cutigliano) have the same service in first place.

Updated on 13 October 2026

Sun and moon today

07:28
Sunrise
18:37
Sunset
11h 9m
Daylight

3 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday

Waxing crescent, 5% illuminated

Map of Bagni di Lucca

Loading map…

Nearby towns

Coreglia Antelminelli
6.9 km
Abetone Cutigliano
10.2 km
Villa Basilica
11.4 km
Barga
12.5 km

Localities in Bagni di Lucca

A Debbio
Aia del Vacchino
Ai Forcelli
Al Belvedere
Al Catino
Al Cerro
Al Colle
Al Faggio Scritto
Al Forcellone
All'Aia

Get to know Bagni di Lucca

Over the last two months, next-day forecasts for the Lucca area had an average accuracy index of 63 out of 100 (average across all services). It is among the hardest areas to forecast in Italy: ranked 93 of 107.

Average accuracy by how far ahead the forecast is made:

  • For tomorrow
    63/100 · fairly reliable
  • 2 days ahead
    64/100 · fairly reliable
  • 5 days ahead
    60/100 · fairly reliable
6,207
Inhabitants
046002
ISTAT code
Lucca (LU) • Tuscany