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Villa Basilica: which weather forecast is most accurate

Data come from the province of Lucca (reference capital: Lucca), combined with nearby provinces weighted by distance. Over the last two weeks, 3BMeteo got it wrong least often in this area (73/100).

Earthquakes · Villa Basilica Air quality · Villa Basilica

No weather alerts today for Villa Basilica · Source: Italian Civil Protection Department

Most accurate in this area, last 2 weeks

3BMeteo

Matches the most accurate service in the province
Data updated on 12 October 2026 at 14:48

At the province level

Catches 67% of actual rainfall
When it forecasts rain, it gets it right 100% of the time
Across 4 rainy days

Rain nearby, right now

The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Villa Basilica, with light intensity.

Observed data from the latest radar sweep (09:50) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection

Yesterday in Lucca

Observed data for 11 October
25°
High
11°
Low
0.8 mm of rain

The reference provincial capital for Villa Basilica is Lucca

How we calculate the score

Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services with data measured in the provincial capitals. The score runs from 0 to 100 and covers the last 14 days: 75% is about forecasting rain and 25% about temperature. Villa Basilica is not a measuring point: the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by distance.

How we measure accuracy
How much each province counts

For this town the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by geographic distance.

Provinces considered:

LU71%PT18%PO4%PI3%FI2%+3 more

Weather service ranking for this area

  1. 1
    3BMeteo
    73/100
    3bmeteo.com(opens in a new tab)
  2. 2
    Apple Weather
    59/100
    No public website
  3. 3
    Meteo Aeronautica Militare
    59/100
    meteoam.it(opens in a new tab)
  4. 4
    Meteo.it
    53/100
    meteo.it(opens in a new tab)
  5. 5
    iLMeteo.it
    38/100
    ilmeteo.it(opens in a new tab)

Yesterday's report card

11 October

Forecasts made the day before for Lucca, compared with what actually happened

Apple WeatherWinner of the day
  • Apple Weather
    Highspot onLowcloseRainwrong
  • 3BMeteo
    Highspot onLowspot onRainwrong
  • Meteo.it
    HighcloseLowspot onRainwrong
  • Meteo Aeronautica Militare
    Highspot onLowspot onRainwrong
  • iLMeteo.it
    HighoffLowcloseRainwrong

Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees

Ongoing streaks

  • 3BMeteo has nailed the high for 6 days in a row
  • Meteo Aeronautica Militare has nailed the low for 5 days in a row
  • Meteo Aeronautica Militare has nailed the high for 4 days in a row

The situation around Villa Basilica

Around Lucca, precipitation was frequent over the past week. The 14-day ranking for the Villa Basilica area shows a clear gap: 3BMeteo is 13 points ahead of the second-placed service. Little wind: light breezes on most days. On yesterday's report card for the provincial capital, the service ranked No. 4 over the week finished No. 1. In nearby municipalities (Pescia, Borgo a Mozzano) the leading service is not always the same.

Updated on 13 October 2026

Sun and moon today

07:28
Sunrise
18:38
Sunset
11h 9m
Daylight

3 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday

Waxing crescent, 5% illuminated

Map of Villa Basilica

Loading map…

Nearby towns

Pescia
6.7 km
Borgo a Mozzano
8.8 km
Uzzano
9.6 km
Buggiano
10.3 km

Localities in Villa Basilica

Acqua Fredda
Barbagliana
Biecina
Botticino
Boveglio
Capornano
Col della Fetta
Colognora
Distendino
Duomo

Get to know Villa Basilica

Over the last two months, next-day forecasts for the Lucca area had an average accuracy index of 63 out of 100 (average across all services). It is among the hardest areas to forecast in Italy: ranked 92 of 107.

Average accuracy by how far ahead the forecast is made:

  • For tomorrow
    63/100 · fairly reliable
  • 2 days ahead
    64/100 · fairly reliable
  • 5 days ahead
    60/100 · fairly reliable
1,700
Inhabitants
046034
ISTAT code
Lucca (LU) • Tuscany