Portoferraio: which weather forecast is most accurate
Data come from the province of Livorno (reference capital: Livorno), combined with nearby provinces weighted by distance. Over the last two weeks, 3BMeteo got it wrong least often in this area (64/100).
No weather alerts today for Portoferraio · Source: Italian Civil Protection Department
Most accurate in this area, last 2 weeks
3BMeteo
At the province level
Rain nearby, right now
The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Portoferraio, with light intensity.
Observed data from the latest radar sweep (10:40) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection
Yesterday in Livorno
Observed data for 11 OctoberThe reference provincial capital for Portoferraio is Livorno
How we calculate the score
Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services with data measured in the provincial capitals. The score runs from 0 to 100 and covers the last 14 days: 75% is about forecasting rain and 25% about temperature. Portoferraio is not a measuring point: the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by distance.
How much each province counts
For this town the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by geographic distance.
Provinces considered:
Weather service ranking for this area
- 13BMeteo64/100
- 2Apple Weather62/100No public website
- 3Meteo Aeronautica Militare62/100
- 4Meteo.it57/100
- 5iLMeteo.it41/100
Yesterday's report card
11 OctoberForecasts made the day before for Livorno, compared with what actually happened
- Meteo Aeronautica MilitareHighspot onLowcloseRaincorrect
- Apple WeatherHighspot onLowoffRaincorrect
- 3BMeteoHighspot onLowoffRainwrong
- Meteo.itHighcloseLowcloseRainwrong
- iLMeteo.itHighoffLowcloseRainwrong
Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees
Ongoing streaks
- Meteo Aeronautica Militare has nailed the high for 5 days in a row
- 3BMeteo has nailed the high for 5 days in a row
- Meteo Aeronautica Militare has called the rain right for 5 days in a row
The situation around Portoferraio
A rainy week around Livorno: rain fell on several of the last seven days. The 14-day ranking for the Portoferraio area is very tight: 3BMeteo leads by less than 3 points over the runner-up. For rain forecasts alone, however, the most accurate service in the provincial capital is Apple Weather. Little wind: light breezes on most days. Yesterday, in the check on the provincial capital, the week's No. 4 moved up to No. 2. Marciana is the exception: a different service leads there. In wet weeks like this one, rain forecasts matter most: they account for three quarters of the score.
Updated on 13 October 2026
Sun and moon today
3 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 5% illuminated
Map of Portoferraio
Loading map…
Nearby towns
Get to know Portoferraio
Over the last two months, next-day forecasts for the Livorno area had an average accuracy index of 61 out of 100 (average across all services). It is among the hardest areas to forecast in Italy: ranked 100 of 107.
Average accuracy by how far ahead the forecast is made:
- For tomorrow61/100 · fairly reliable
- 2 days ahead61/100 · fairly reliable
- 5 days ahead58/100 · fairly reliable