Bagnolo San Vito: which weather forecast is most accurate
Data come from the province of Mantua (reference capital: Mantua), combined with nearby provinces weighted by distance. Over the last two weeks, Apple Weather got it wrong least often in this area (55/100).
No weather alerts today for Bagnolo San Vito · Source: Italian Civil Protection Department
Most accurate in this area, last 2 weeks
Apple Weather
Rain nearby, right now
The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Bagnolo San Vito, with light intensity.
Observed data from the latest radar sweep (09:45) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection
Yesterday in Mantova
Observed data for 11 OctoberThe reference provincial capital for Bagnolo San Vito is Mantova
How we calculate the score
Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services with data measured in the provincial capitals. The score runs from 0 to 100 and covers the last 14 days: 75% is about forecasting rain and 25% about temperature. Bagnolo San Vito is not a measuring point: the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by distance.
How much each province counts
For this town the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by geographic distance.
Provinces considered:
Weather service ranking for this area
- 1Apple Weather55/100No public website
- 23BMeteo55/100
- 3Meteo Aeronautica Militare52/100
- 4iLMeteo.it48/100
- 5Meteo.it47/100
Yesterday's report card
11 OctoberForecasts made the day before for Mantova, compared with what actually happened
- Meteo.itHighspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
- iLMeteo.itHighspot onLowspot onRainwrong
- 3BMeteoHighspot onLowspot onRainwrong
- Meteo Aeronautica MilitareHighspot onLowspot onRainwrong
- Apple WeatherHighspot onLowcloseRainwrong
Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees
Ongoing streaks
- Meteo Aeronautica Militare has nailed the high for 39 days in a row
- 3BMeteo has nailed the low for 7 days in a row
- Meteo Aeronautica Militare has nailed the low for 7 days in a row
The situation around Bagnolo San Vito
A wet week around Mantova, with frequent precipitation. Over the last 14 days, Apple Weather has the highest score for the Bagnolo San Vito area, but the runner-up is less than 3 points behind: the ranking can change from one day to the next. Rain and temperatures have different winners: in the provincial capital 3BMeteo does best on rain, and another service again on temperatures. Gentle breezes, with no notable gusts. San Benedetto Po is the exception: a different service leads there. One more note: yesterday the service ranked last overall was among the two most accurate on the provincial capital's report card. With this much rain, the part of the score that weighs most is the precipitation forecast (three quarters of the total).
Updated on 13 October 2026
Sun and moon today
3 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 5% illuminated
Map of Bagnolo San Vito
Loading map…
Nearby towns
Localities in Bagnolo San Vito
Get to know Bagnolo San Vito
Over the last two months, next-day forecasts for the Mantova area had an average accuracy index of 77 out of 100 (average across all services). It ranks 1 of 107 among Italy's most predictable areas.
Average accuracy by how far ahead the forecast is made:
- For tomorrow77/100 · very reliable
- 2 days ahead76/100 · very reliable
- 5 days ahead72/100 · very reliable