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Pegognaga: which weather forecast is most accurate

Data come from the province of Mantua (reference capital: Mantua), combined with nearby provinces weighted by distance. Over the last two weeks, 3BMeteo got it wrong least often in this area (56/100).

Earthquakes · Pegognaga Air quality · Pegognaga

No weather alerts today for Pegognaga · Source: Italian Civil Protection Department

Most accurate in this area, last 2 weeks

3BMeteo

There is no clear winner at the province level
Data updated on 12 October 2026 at 14:48

Rain nearby, right now

The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Pegognaga, with light intensity.

Observed data from the latest radar sweep (12:15) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection

Yesterday in Mantova

Observed data for 11 October
23°
High
12°
Low
3.3 mm of rain
Hottest provincial capital in the region

The reference provincial capital for Pegognaga is Mantova

How we calculate the score

Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services with data measured in the provincial capitals. The score runs from 0 to 100 and covers the last 14 days: 75% is about forecasting rain and 25% about temperature. Pegognaga is not a measuring point: the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by distance.

How we measure accuracy
How much each province counts

For this town the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by geographic distance.

Provinces considered:

MN73%RE7%VR5%MO5%RO3%+3 more

Weather service ranking for this area

  1. 1
    3BMeteo
    56/100
    3bmeteo.com(opens in a new tab)
  2. 2
    Apple Weather
    55/100
    No public website
  3. 3
    Meteo Aeronautica Militare
    52/100
    meteoam.it(opens in a new tab)
  4. 4
    iLMeteo.it
    48/100
    ilmeteo.it(opens in a new tab)
  5. 5
    Meteo.it
    47/100
    meteo.it(opens in a new tab)

Yesterday's report card

11 October

Forecasts made the day before for Mantova, compared with what actually happened

Meteo.itWinner of the day
  • Meteo.it
    Highspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
  • iLMeteo.it
    Highspot onLowspot onRainwrong
  • 3BMeteo
    Highspot onLowspot onRainwrong
  • Meteo Aeronautica Militare
    Highspot onLowspot onRainwrong
  • Apple Weather
    Highspot onLowcloseRainwrong

Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees

Ongoing streaks

  • Meteo Aeronautica Militare has nailed the high for 39 days in a row
  • 3BMeteo has nailed the low for 7 days in a row
  • Meteo Aeronautica Militare has nailed the low for 7 days in a row

The situation around Pegognaga

A rainy week around Mantova: rain fell on several of the last seven days. 3BMeteo tops the 14-day ranking for the Pegognaga area, but by a minimal margin of under 3 points over the second-placed service. On temperatures alone, however, Meteo.it is more accurate in the provincial capital's data. Little wind: light breezes on most days. In nearby municipalities (San Benedetto Po, Gonzaga) the leading service does not change. Worth noting: yesterday the service ranked last overall was among the two most accurate on the provincial capital's report card.

Updated on 13 October 2026

Sun and moon today

07:29
Sunrise
18:36
Sunset
11h 7m
Daylight

3 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday

Waxing crescent, 5% illuminated

Map of Pegognaga

Loading map…

Nearby towns

San Benedetto Po
6.1 km
Gonzaga
6.3 km
Moglia
8 km
Motteggiana
8.1 km

Localities in Pegognaga

Aldegatta
Cadalora
Calderina-Serraglio
Camatte
Coloncine
Fornasotto
Galvagnina
Pegognaga
Polesine
Sacca

Get to know Pegognaga

Over the last two months, next-day forecasts for the Mantova area had an average accuracy index of 77 out of 100 (average across all services). It ranks 1 of 107 among Italy's most predictable areas.

Average accuracy by how far ahead the forecast is made:

  • For tomorrow
    77/100 · very reliable
  • 2 days ahead
    76/100 · very reliable
  • 5 days ahead
    72/100 · very reliable
7,244
Inhabitants
020039
ISTAT code
Mantua (MN) • Lombardy