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Sant'Arpino: which weather forecast is most accurate

Data come from the province of Caserta (reference capital: Caserta), combined with nearby provinces weighted by distance. Over the last two weeks, Apple Weather got it wrong least often in this area (74/100).

Earthquakes · Sant'Arpino Air quality · Sant'Arpino

Yellow alert today for hydrogeological risk

Source: Italian Civil Protection Department · 13 October

Most accurate in this area, last 2 weeks

Apple Weather

There is no clear winner at the province level
Data updated on 12 October 2026 at 14:48

Rain nearby, right now

The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Sant'Arpino, with light intensity.

Observed data from the latest radar sweep (09:45) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection

Yesterday in Caserta

Observed data for 11 October
23°
High
15°
Low
0.6 mm of rain

The reference provincial capital for Sant'Arpino is Caserta

How we calculate the score

Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services with data measured in the provincial capitals. The score runs from 0 to 100 and covers the last 14 days: 75% is about forecasting rain and 25% about temperature. Sant'Arpino is not a measuring point: the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by distance.

How we measure accuracy
How much each province counts

For this town the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by geographic distance.

Provinces considered:

CE65%NA26%BN3%AV2%IS1%+3 more

Weather service ranking for this area

  1. 1
    Apple Weather
    74/100
    No public website
  2. 2
    Meteo Aeronautica Militare
    74/100
    meteoam.it(opens in a new tab)
  3. 3
    Meteo.it
    72/100
    meteo.it(opens in a new tab)
  4. 4
    3BMeteo
    71/100
    3bmeteo.com(opens in a new tab)
  5. 5
    iLMeteo.it
    42/100
    ilmeteo.it(opens in a new tab)

Yesterday's report card

11 October

Forecasts made the day before for Caserta, compared with what actually happened

Meteo Aeronautica MilitareWinner of the day
  • Meteo Aeronautica Militare
    Highspot onLowspot onRainwrong
  • Apple Weather
    Highspot onLowspot onRainwrong
  • 3BMeteo
    Highspot onLowspot onRainwrong
  • Meteo.it
    Highspot onLowspot onRainwrong
  • iLMeteo.it
    HighoffLowcloseRainwrong

Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees

Ongoing streaks

  • Meteo.it has nailed the low for 39 days in a row
  • Meteo Aeronautica Militare has nailed the low for 7 days in a row
  • 3BMeteo has nailed the low for 6 days in a row

The situation around Sant'Arpino

Rain on a good share of the days around Caserta over the last seven days. The 14-day ranking for the Sant'Arpino area is very tight: Apple Weather leads by less than 3 points over the runner-up. For rain alone, the most accurate service in the provincial capital is Meteo Aeronautica Militare, while a third service leads on temperatures. The wind made itself felt at moderate strength. Yesterday's report card reshuffled the order: the week's No. 2 finished No. 1. Nearby municipalities (Frattaminore, Cesa) have the same service in first place. Rain makes up three quarters of the score and temperature one quarter: in a week this wet, rain is what makes the difference.

Updated on 13 October 2026

Sun and moon today

07:11
Sunrise
18:26
Sunset
11h 15m
Daylight

3 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday

Waxing crescent, 5% illuminated

Map of Sant'Arpino

Loading map…

Nearby towns

Frattaminore
1.3 km
Cesa
1.9 km
Sant'Antimo
2.1 km
Grumo Nevano
2.6 km

Get to know Sant'Arpino

Over the last two months, next-day forecasts for the Caserta area had an average accuracy index of 70 out of 100 (average across all services). It ranks 53 of 107 among Italy's most predictable areas.

Average accuracy by how far ahead the forecast is made:

  • For tomorrow
    70/100 · very reliable
  • 2 days ahead
    71/100 · very reliable
  • 5 days ahead
    64/100 · fairly reliable
14,076
Inhabitants
061087
ISTAT code
Caserta (CE) • Campania