Cesa: which weather forecast is most accurate
Data come from the province of Caserta (reference capital: Caserta), combined with nearby provinces weighted by distance. Over the last two weeks, Apple Weather got it wrong least often in this area (74/100).
Yellow alert today for hydrogeological risk
Source: Italian Civil Protection Department · 13 October
Most accurate in this area, last 2 weeks
Apple Weather
Rain nearby, right now
The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Cesa, with light intensity.
Observed data from the latest radar sweep (09:45) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection
Yesterday in Caserta
Observed data for 11 OctoberThe reference provincial capital for Cesa is Caserta
How we calculate the score
Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services with data measured in the provincial capitals. The score runs from 0 to 100 and covers the last 14 days: 75% is about forecasting rain and 25% about temperature. Cesa is not a measuring point: the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by distance.
How much each province counts
For this town the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by geographic distance.
Provinces considered:
Weather service ranking for this area
- 1Apple Weather74/100No public website
- 2Meteo Aeronautica Militare74/100
- 3Meteo.it72/100
- 43BMeteo71/100
- 5iLMeteo.it42/100
Yesterday's report card
11 OctoberForecasts made the day before for Caserta, compared with what actually happened
- Meteo Aeronautica MilitareHighspot onLowspot onRainwrong
- Apple WeatherHighspot onLowspot onRainwrong
- 3BMeteoHighspot onLowspot onRainwrong
- Meteo.itHighspot onLowspot onRainwrong
- iLMeteo.itHighoffLowcloseRainwrong
Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees
Ongoing streaks
- Meteo.it has nailed the low for 39 days in a row
- Meteo Aeronautica Militare has nailed the low for 7 days in a row
- 3BMeteo has nailed the low for 6 days in a row
The situation around Cesa
Rain on a good share of the days around Caserta over the last seven days. Apple Weather tops the 14-day ranking for the Cesa area, but by a minimal margin of under 3 points over the second-placed service. Rain and temperatures have different winners: in the provincial capital Meteo Aeronautica Militare does best on rain, and another service again on temperatures. Moderate and fairly steady wind through the week. On yesterday's report card for the provincial capital, the service ranked No. 2 over the week finished No. 1. Aversa is the exception: a different service leads there. With this much rain, the part of the score that weighs most is the precipitation forecast (three quarters of the total).
Updated on 13 October 2026
Sun and moon today
3 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 5% illuminated
Map of Cesa
Loading map…
Nearby towns
Localities in Cesa
Get to know Cesa
Over the last two months, next-day forecasts for the Caserta area had an average accuracy index of 70 out of 100 (average across all services). It ranks 53 of 107 among Italy's most predictable areas.
Average accuracy by how far ahead the forecast is made:
- For tomorrow70/100 · very reliable
- 2 days ahead71/100 · very reliable
- 5 days ahead64/100 · fairly reliable