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2.3
light
EARTHQUAKE DETAILS

18 km North of Villafranca Tirrena

127 months ago · 2 Jan, 23:48

A light earthquake, rarely felt by people. Being deep, it is felt less at the surface.

Stronger than 93% of Italian events in the past year

Where

18 km North of Villafranca TirrenaEarthquakes in the province of MessinaEarthquakes in Sicilia

How far away could it be felt?

A quake this small is usually not felt by people: only seismographs record it.

Statistical estimate from the Italian intensity attenuation model (INGV): actual perception depends on geology, buildings and depth. Very shallow events can be felt locally even below the threshold.

Earthquake map

34 events
Magnitude:lightweakmoderatestrong

The energy released

How much energy this quake unleashed, translated into everyday comparisons.

43kgof TNT equivalent
Less than the energy of a lightning bolt
M3
A magnitude 3 earthquake releases ×11 its energy
M1this quakeM3

Each extra magnitude unit releases about 32 times more energy: an M5 is not "a bit stronger" than an M4 — it is a different league.

Energy estimated with the standard Gutenberg–Richter relation; an average lightning bolt ≈ 1 billion joules. Indicative values.

The race of the seismic waves

Two waves set off from the hypocentre: the faster P wave arrives first with a sharp jolt; the S wave carries the actual shaking.

P waves — the first sharp jolt (~6 km/s)S waves — the strongest shaking (~3.5 km/s)
t ≈ 45 s

Animation sped up ~8× compared to reality.

  • Messina
    22 km from the epicentre
    first tremor in ~20 s
    main shaking in ~35 s
  • Reggio di Calabria
    41 km from the epicentre
    first tremor in ~21 s
    main shaking in ~36 s
  • Acireale
    85 km from the epicentre
    first tremor in ~24 s
    main shaking in ~42 s
  • Lamezia Terme
    101 km from the epicentre
    first tremor in ~26 s
    main shaking in ~45 s

Theoretical times with average crustal speeds: real values vary with geology. The gap between P and S waves is what earthquake early-warning systems rely on.

How deep it was born

119 km
deep
13 times the height of Mount Everest

Being deep, it is felt less at the surface.

deeper than the area average (~45 km)

For the same magnitude, a shallow earthquake is felt much more than a deep one: the energy starts closer to the surface.

What kind of quake is this?

Foreshock

In hindsight it was a foreshock: 126 months ago the same area had a stronger quake (M2.8). This can only be said after the fact — it was not predictable beforehand.

2.8
The mainshock
23 km North of Milazzo
126 months ago · 27 Jan, 02:14
Activity in the area right now (30 km radius)
20
last 24 hours
38
last 7 days
66
last 30 days
19 before14 after
this quake
Strongest of the sequence2.8

How often does it happen here?

about every ~2 days

Within 50 km of this epicentre, a magnitude ≥ 2 earthquake has occurred on average this often: 1908 events in the last 12 years of the INGV catalogue.

An average computed on the recent past: it tells how used this area is to shaking, not when the next quake will come — earthquakes cannot be predicted.

The great earthquakes in this area's history

Almost a thousand years of catalogues: the strongest documented events within ~50 km.

19087.1
Stretto di Messina earthquake
28 December 1908 · 35 km from here
XICatastrophic: very few buildings remain standing; landslides and ground cracks.
17866.1
Golfo di Patti earthquake
10 March 1786 · 45 km from here
IXDestructive: many buildings partly or fully collapse.
18946.1
Calabria meridionale earthquake
16 November 1894 · 42 km from here
IXDestructive: many buildings partly or fully collapse.
19786.0
Golfo di Patti earthquake
15 April 1978 · 28 km from here
VIIIRuinous: partial collapses in ordinary buildings, widespread heavy damage.

Source: Parametric Catalogue of Italian Earthquakes CPTI15 (INGV, CC BY 4.0).

The closest seismic structure

Bagnara-Bovalino

The epicentre lies about 17 km from Bagnara-Bovalino, one of the seismic structures mapped by INGV geologists.

estimated maximum magnitude 7.1between 3 and 12 km deep

Faults are mapped to build better and understand the territory: knowing them says nothing about when an earthquake will occur, which remains unpredictable. Source: DISS 3.3 (INGV, CC BY 4.0).

Other quakes in the area

2.0
22 km North of Milazzo
17 km West · 120 km
127 months ago
2 Jan, 22:37
2.3
Tirreno Meridionale [Mare]
13 km North-West · 134 km
127 months ago
2 Jan, 19:05
1.7
8 km North-West of Milazzo
21 km West · 11 km
127 months ago
31 Dec, 23:19
1.5
8 km North-West of Milazzo
22 km South-West · 10 km
127 months ago
31 Dec, 23:16
2.5
11 km North of Milazzo
15 km West · 163 km
127 months ago
5 Jan, 02:21
2.4
127 months ago
31 Dec, 16:42
2.3
Tirreno Meridionale [Mare]
15 km North-East · 136 km
127 months ago
31 Dec, 03:24
2.5
Tirreno Meridionale [Mare]
13 km North-East · 89 km
127 months ago
8 Jan, 15:21
2.5
127 months ago
11 Jan, 00:49
2.0
Tirreno Meridionale [Mare]
16 km North-West · 131 km
128 months ago
25 Dec, 15:21

Data: INGV — National Institute of Geophysics and Volcanology (CC-BY 4.0)

Estimates computed by Meteare on INGV data (Gutenberg–Richter relation; Italian macroseismic intensity attenuation model).

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