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EARTHQUAKE DETAILS

Tirreno Meridionale [Mare]

127 months ago · 2 Jan, 19:05

A light earthquake, rarely felt by people. Being deep, it is felt less at the surface.

Stronger than 93% of Italian events in the past year

Where

Tirreno Meridionale [Mare]Earthquakes in the province of MessinaEarthquakes in Sicilia

Epicentre at sea

The epicentre is at sea: for the same magnitude, the shaking is felt less on land, because the energy fades along the way before reaching the coast.

How far away could it be felt?

A quake this small is usually not felt by people: only seismographs record it.

Statistical estimate from the Italian intensity attenuation model (INGV): actual perception depends on geology, buildings and depth. Very shallow events can be felt locally even below the threshold.

Earthquake map

30 events
Magnitude:lightweakmoderatestrong

The energy released

How much energy this quake unleashed, translated into everyday comparisons.

43kgof TNT equivalent
Less than the energy of a lightning bolt
M3
A magnitude 3 earthquake releases ×11 its energy
M1this quakeM3

Each extra magnitude unit releases about 32 times more energy: an M5 is not "a bit stronger" than an M4 — it is a different league.

Energy estimated with the standard Gutenberg–Richter relation; an average lightning bolt ≈ 1 billion joules. Indicative values.

The race of the seismic waves

Two waves set off from the hypocentre: the faster P wave arrives first with a sharp jolt; the S wave carries the actual shaking.

P waves — the first sharp jolt (~6 km/s)S waves — the strongest shaking (~3.5 km/s)
t ≈ 48 s

Animation sped up ~9× compared to reality.

  • Messina
    35 km from the epicentre
    first tremor in ~23 s
    main shaking in ~40 s
  • Reggio di Calabria
    54 km from the epicentre
    first tremor in ~24 s
    main shaking in ~41 s
  • Acireale
    94 km from the epicentre
    first tremor in ~27 s
    main shaking in ~47 s
  • Lamezia Terme
    100 km from the epicentre
    first tremor in ~28 s
    main shaking in ~48 s

Theoretical times with average crustal speeds: real values vary with geology. The gap between P and S waves is what earthquake early-warning systems rely on.

How deep it was born

134 km
deep
15 times the height of Mount Everest

Being deep, it is felt less at the surface.

deeper than the area average (~56 km)

For the same magnitude, a shallow earthquake is felt much more than a deep one: the energy starts closer to the surface.

What kind of quake is this?

Foreshock

In hindsight it was a foreshock: 126 months ago the same area had a stronger quake (M2.9). This can only be said after the fact — it was not predictable beforehand.

2.9
The mainshock
24 km East of Lipari
126 months ago · 28 Jan, 14:17
Activity in the area right now (30 km radius)
18
last 24 hours
38
last 7 days
66
last 30 days
14 before15 after
this quake
Strongest of the sequence2.9

How often does it happen here?

about every ~2 days

Within 50 km of this epicentre, a magnitude ≥ 2 earthquake has occurred on average this often: 1936 events in the last 12 years of the INGV catalogue.

An average computed on the recent past: it tells how used this area is to shaking, not when the next quake will come — earthquakes cannot be predicted.

The great earthquakes in this area's history

Almost a thousand years of catalogues: the strongest documented events within ~50 km.

19087.1
Stretto di Messina earthquake
28 December 1908 · 48 km from here
XICatastrophic: very few buildings remain standing; landslides and ground cracks.
17866.1
Golfo di Patti earthquake
10 March 1786 · 48 km from here
IXDestructive: many buildings partly or fully collapse.
19786.0
Golfo di Patti earthquake
15 April 1978 · 22 km from here
VIIIRuinous: partial collapses in ordinary buildings, widespread heavy damage.
17495.8
Messina earthquake
August 1749 · 38 km from here
VIII-IXDestructive: many buildings partly or fully collapse.

Source: Parametric Catalogue of Italian Earthquakes CPTI15 (INGV, CC BY 4.0).

The closest seismic structure

Bagnara-Bovalino

The epicentre lies about 27 km from Bagnara-Bovalino, one of the seismic structures mapped by INGV geologists.

estimated maximum magnitude 7.1between 3 and 12 km deep

Faults are mapped to build better and understand the territory: knowing them says nothing about when an earthquake will occur, which remains unpredictable. Source: DISS 3.3 (INGV, CC BY 4.0).

Other quakes in the area

2.0
22 km North of Milazzo
10 km South-West · 120 km
127 months ago
2 Jan, 22:37
2.3
18 km North of Villafranca Tirrena
13 km South-East · 119 km
127 months ago
2 Jan, 23:48
1.7
8 km North-West of Milazzo
23 km South-West · 11 km
127 months ago
31 Dec, 23:19
1.5
8 km North-West of Milazzo
24 km South-West · 10 km
127 months ago
31 Dec, 23:16
2.4
127 months ago
31 Dec, 16:42
2.5
11 km North of Milazzo
17 km South-West · 163 km
127 months ago
5 Jan, 02:21
2.3
Tirreno Meridionale [Mare]
19 km East · 136 km
127 months ago
31 Dec, 03:24
2.5
Tirreno Meridionale [Mare]
19 km East · 89 km
127 months ago
8 Jan, 15:21
2.0
Tirreno Meridionale [Mare]
3 km North-West · 131 km
128 months ago
25 Dec, 15:21
2.5
14 km North of Villafranca Tirrena
21 km South-East · 129 km
127 months ago
11 Jan, 00:49

Data: INGV — National Institute of Geophysics and Volcanology (CC-BY 4.0)

Estimates computed by Meteare on INGV data (Gutenberg–Richter relation; Italian macroseismic intensity attenuation model).

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