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Ayas: which weather forecast is most accurate

Data come from the province of Aosta (reference capital: Aosta), combined with nearby provinces weighted by distance. Over the last two weeks, Meteo Aeronautica Militare got it wrong least often in this area (61/100).

Earthquakes · Ayas Air quality · Ayas

No weather alerts today for Ayas · Source: Italian Civil Protection Department

Most accurate in this area, last 2 weeks

Meteo Aeronautica Militare

Matches the most accurate service in the province
Data updated on 12 October 2026 at 14:48

At the province level

Catches 63% of actual rainfall
When it forecasts rain, it gets it right 71% of the time
Across 4 rainy days

Rain nearby, right now

The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Ayas, with light intensity.

Observed data from the latest radar sweep (11:20) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection

Yesterday in Aosta

Observed data for 11 October
15°
High
5°
Low
No rain

The reference provincial capital for Ayas is Aosta

How we calculate the score

Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services with data measured in the provincial capitals. The score runs from 0 to 100 and covers the last 14 days: 75% is about forecasting rain and 25% about temperature. Ayas is not a measuring point: the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by distance.

How we measure accuracy
How much each province counts

For this town the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by geographic distance.

Provinces considered:

AO64%BI11%VB6%VC6%NO4%+3 more

Weather service ranking for this area

  1. 1
    Meteo Aeronautica Militare
    61/100
    meteoam.it(opens in a new tab)
  2. 2
    3BMeteo
    56/100
    3bmeteo.com(opens in a new tab)
  3. 3
    Meteo.it
    55/100
    meteo.it(opens in a new tab)
  4. 4
    Apple Weather
    53/100
    No public website
  5. 5
    iLMeteo.it
    52/100
    ilmeteo.it(opens in a new tab)

Yesterday's report card

11 October

Forecasts made the day before for Aosta, compared with what actually happened

Meteo Aeronautica MilitareWinner of the day
  • Meteo Aeronautica Militare
    HighoffLowoffRaincorrect
  • Meteo.it
    HighoffLowoffRaincorrect
  • iLMeteo.it
    HighcloseLowoffRainwrong
  • 3BMeteo
    HighoffLowcloseRaincorrect
  • Apple Weather
    HighoffLowcloseRaincorrect

Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees

The situation around Ayas

A wet week around Aosta, with frequent precipitation. Over the last 14 days, Meteo Aeronautica Militare has the highest score for the Ayas area. On temperatures alone, however, iLMeteo.it is more accurate in the provincial capital's data. Gentle breezes, with no notable gusts. Yesterday, in the check on the provincial capital, the week's No. 4 moved up to No. 2. The top-ranked service is the same in nearby municipalities too (Chamois, Gressoney-La-Trinité).

Updated on 13 October 2026

Sun and moon today

07:42
Sunrise
18:47
Sunset
11h 5m
Daylight

3 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday

Waxing crescent, 5% illuminated

Map of Ayas

Loading map…

Nearby towns

Chamois
7.4 km
Gressoney-La-Trinité
8.4 km
Brusson
9.4 km
La Magdeleine
9.8 km

Localities in Ayas

Alpe Ciarcerio
Alpe della Forca Inferiore
Alpe della Forca Superiore
Alpe di Nana Inferiore
Alpe di Nana Superiore
Alpe di Tzere
Alpe Giardin
Alpe Mascognaz
Alpe Messan
Alpe Sapien

Get to know Ayas

Over the last two months, next-day forecasts for the Aosta area had an average accuracy index of 49 out of 100 (average across all services). It is among the hardest areas to forecast in Italy: ranked 107 of 107.

Average accuracy by how far ahead the forecast is made:

  • For tomorrow
    49/100 · not very reliable
  • 2 days ahead
    48/100 · not very reliable
  • 5 days ahead
    46/100 · not very reliable
1,359
Inhabitants
007007
ISTAT code
Aosta (AO) • Aosta Valley