Avigliano Umbro: which weather forecast is most accurate
Data come from the province of Terni (reference capital: Terni), combined with nearby provinces weighted by distance. Over the last two weeks, Meteo Aeronautica Militare got it wrong least often in this area (80/100).
No weather alerts today for Avigliano Umbro · Source: Italian Civil Protection Department
Most accurate in this area, last 2 weeks
Meteo Aeronautica Militare
At the province level
Rain nearby, right now
The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Avigliano Umbro, with light intensity.
Observed data from the latest radar sweep (09:45) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection
Yesterday in Terni
Observed data for 11 OctoberThe reference provincial capital for Avigliano Umbro is Terni
How we calculate the score
Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services with data measured in the provincial capitals. The score runs from 0 to 100 and covers the last 14 days: 75% is about forecasting rain and 25% about temperature. Avigliano Umbro is not a measuring point: the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by distance.
How much each province counts
For this town the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by geographic distance.
Provinces considered:
Weather service ranking for this area
- 1Meteo Aeronautica Militare80/100
- 23BMeteo67/100
- 3Meteo.it66/100
- 4Apple Weather65/100No public website
- 5iLMeteo.it42/100
Yesterday's report card
11 OctoberForecasts made the day before for Terni, compared with what actually happened
- Meteo.itHighspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
- 3BMeteoHighspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
- iLMeteo.itHighcloseLowspot onRaincorrect
- Meteo Aeronautica MilitareHighspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
- Apple WeatherHighcloseLowspot onRaincorrect
Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees
Ongoing streaks
- iLMeteo.it has nailed the low for 4 days in a row
- Meteo Aeronautica Militare has called the rain right for 4 days in a row
- Meteo.it has called the rain right for 4 days in a row
The situation around Avigliano Umbro
A wet week around Terni, with frequent precipitation. The 14-day ranking for the Avigliano Umbro area shows a clear gap: Meteo Aeronautica Militare is 14 points ahead of the second-placed service. Light wind for most of the week. Yesterday, in the check on the provincial capital, the week's No. 3 moved up to No. 1. The top-ranked service is the same in nearby municipalities too (Montecastrilli, Guardea).
Updated on 13 October 2026
Sun and moon today
3 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 5% illuminated
Map of Avigliano Umbro
Loading map…
Nearby towns
Localities in Avigliano Umbro
Get to know Avigliano Umbro
Over the last two months, next-day forecasts for the Terni area had an average accuracy index of 68 out of 100 (average across all services). It is among the hardest areas to forecast in Italy: ranked 69 of 107.
Average accuracy by how far ahead the forecast is made:
- For tomorrow68/100 · fairly reliable
- 2 days ahead69/100 · fairly reliable
- 5 days ahead64/100 · fairly reliable