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Valfabbrica: which weather forecast is most accurate

Data come from the province of Perugia (reference capital: Perugia), combined with nearby provinces weighted by distance. Over the last two weeks, Apple Weather got it wrong least often in this area (64/100).

Earthquakes · Valfabbrica Air quality · Valfabbrica

No weather alerts today for Valfabbrica · Source: Italian Civil Protection Department

Most accurate in this area, last 2 weeks

Apple Weather

Matches the most accurate service in the province
Data updated on 12 October 2026 at 14:48

At the province level

Catches 61% of actual rainfall
When it forecasts rain, it gets it right 85% of the time
Across 6 rainy days

Rain nearby, right now

The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Valfabbrica, with light intensity.

Observed data from the latest radar sweep (12:15) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection

Yesterday in Perugia

Observed data for 11 October
24°
High
14°
Low
No rain
Hottest provincial capital in the region

The reference provincial capital for Valfabbrica is Perugia

How we calculate the score

Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services with data measured in the provincial capitals. The score runs from 0 to 100 and covers the last 14 days: 75% is about forecasting rain and 25% about temperature. Valfabbrica is not a measuring point: the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by distance.

How we measure accuracy
How much each province counts

For this town the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by geographic distance.

Provinces considered:

PG72%MC6%AN5%PU5%TR4%+3 more

Weather service ranking for this area

  1. 1
    Apple Weather
    64/100
    No public website
  2. 2
    Meteo Aeronautica Militare
    61/100
    meteoam.it(opens in a new tab)
  3. 3
    Meteo.it
    51/100
    meteo.it(opens in a new tab)
  4. 4
    3BMeteo
    50/100
    3bmeteo.com(opens in a new tab)
  5. 5
    iLMeteo.it
    46/100
    ilmeteo.it(opens in a new tab)

Yesterday's report card

11 October

Forecasts made the day before for Perugia, compared with what actually happened

Meteo.itWinner of the day
  • Meteo.it
    Highspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
  • 3BMeteo
    Highspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
  • iLMeteo.it
    HighcloseLowspot onRaincorrect
  • Apple Weather
    HighcloseLowspot onRaincorrect
  • Meteo Aeronautica Militare
    HighcloseLowspot onRaincorrect

Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees

Ongoing streaks

  • Meteo.it has nailed the high for 30 days in a row
  • Meteo Aeronautica Militare has nailed the low for 10 days in a row
  • Meteo.it has nailed the low for 9 days in a row

The situation around Valfabbrica

A rainy week around Perugia: rain fell on several of the last seven days. Leading for the Valfabbrica area over the last 14 days is Apple Weather. Looking at temperatures only, first place in the provincial capital goes to iLMeteo.it. Moderate wind on several days. Yesterday's report card reshuffled the order: the week's No. 4 finished No. 2. In nearby municipalities (Assisi, Gualdo Tadino) the leading service does not change.

Updated on 13 October 2026

Sun and moon today

07:20
Sunrise
18:30
Sunset
11h 11m
Daylight

3 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday

Waxing crescent, 5% illuminated

Map of Valfabbrica

Loading map…

Nearby towns

Assisi
10.3 km
Gualdo Tadino
10.6 km
Nocera Umbra
14.4 km
Fossato di Vico
16.1 km

Localities in Valfabbrica

Borgo Le Case
Capanne Alte
Capanne Basse
Casacastalda
Collemincio
Giomici
La Barcaccia
Monteverde
Monte Villano Alto
Monte Villano Basso

Get to know Valfabbrica

Over the last two months, next-day forecasts for the Perugia area had an average accuracy index of 70 out of 100 (average across all services). It is among the hardest areas to forecast in Italy: ranked 60 of 107.

Average accuracy by how far ahead the forecast is made:

  • For tomorrow
    70/100 · fairly reliable
  • 2 days ahead
    69/100 · fairly reliable
  • 5 days ahead
    62/100 · fairly reliable
3,502
Inhabitants
054057
ISTAT code
Perugia (PG) • Umbria