Umbertide: which weather forecast is most accurate
Data come from the province of Perugia (reference capital: Perugia), combined with nearby provinces weighted by distance. Over the last two weeks, Apple Weather got it wrong least often in this area (63/100).
No weather alerts today for Umbertide · Source: Italian Civil Protection Department
Most accurate in this area, last 2 weeks
Apple Weather
At the province level
Rain nearby, right now
The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Umbertide, with light intensity.
Observed data from the latest radar sweep (11:15) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection
Yesterday in Perugia
Observed data for 11 OctoberThe reference provincial capital for Umbertide is Perugia
How we calculate the score
Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services with data measured in the provincial capitals. The score runs from 0 to 100 and covers the last 14 days: 75% is about forecasting rain and 25% about temperature. Umbertide is not a measuring point: the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by distance.
How much each province counts
For this town the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by geographic distance.
Provinces considered:
Weather service ranking for this area
- 1Apple Weather63/100No public website
- 2Meteo Aeronautica Militare59/100
- 3Meteo.it53/100
- 43BMeteo52/100
- 5iLMeteo.it47/100
Yesterday's report card
11 OctoberForecasts made the day before for Perugia, compared with what actually happened
- Meteo.itHighspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
- 3BMeteoHighspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
- iLMeteo.itHighcloseLowspot onRaincorrect
- Apple WeatherHighcloseLowspot onRaincorrect
- Meteo Aeronautica MilitareHighcloseLowspot onRaincorrect
Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees
Ongoing streaks
- Meteo.it has nailed the high for 30 days in a row
- Meteo Aeronautica Militare has nailed the low for 10 days in a row
- Meteo.it has nailed the low for 9 days in a row
The situation around Umbertide
A wet week around Perugia, with frequent precipitation. Over the last 14 days, Apple Weather has the highest score for the Umbertide area. Looking at temperatures only, first place in the provincial capital goes to iLMeteo.it. Moderate and fairly steady wind through the week. On yesterday's report card for the provincial capital, the service ranked No. 4 over the week finished No. 2. The top-ranked service is the same in nearby municipalities too (Lisciano Niccone, Passignano sul Trasimeno).
Updated on 13 October 2026
Sun and moon today
3 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 5% illuminated
Map of Umbertide
Loading map…
Nearby towns
Localities in Umbertide
Get to know Umbertide
Over the last two months, next-day forecasts for the Perugia area had an average accuracy index of 70 out of 100 (average across all services). It is among the hardest areas to forecast in Italy: ranked 60 of 107.
Average accuracy by how far ahead the forecast is made:
- For tomorrow70/100 · fairly reliable
- 2 days ahead69/100 · fairly reliable
- 5 days ahead62/100 · fairly reliable