Montefalco: which weather forecast is most accurate
Data come from the province of Perugia (reference capital: Perugia), combined with nearby provinces weighted by distance. Over the last two weeks, Apple Weather got it wrong least often in this area (64/100).
No weather alerts today for Montefalco · Source: Italian Civil Protection Department
Most accurate in this area, last 2 weeks
Apple Weather
At the province level
Rain nearby, right now
The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Montefalco, with light intensity.
Observed data from the latest radar sweep (12:05) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection
Yesterday in Perugia
Observed data for 11 OctoberThe reference provincial capital for Montefalco is Perugia
How we calculate the score
Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services with data measured in the provincial capitals. The score runs from 0 to 100 and covers the last 14 days: 75% is about forecasting rain and 25% about temperature. Montefalco is not a measuring point: the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by distance.
How much each province counts
For this town the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by geographic distance.
Provinces considered:
Weather service ranking for this area
- 1Apple Weather64/100No public website
- 2Meteo Aeronautica Militare64/100
- 3Meteo.it54/100
- 43BMeteo52/100
- 5iLMeteo.it45/100
Yesterday's report card
11 OctoberForecasts made the day before for Perugia, compared with what actually happened
- Meteo.itHighspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
- 3BMeteoHighspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
- iLMeteo.itHighcloseLowspot onRaincorrect
- Apple WeatherHighcloseLowspot onRaincorrect
- Meteo Aeronautica MilitareHighcloseLowspot onRaincorrect
Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees
Ongoing streaks
- Meteo.it has nailed the high for 30 days in a row
- Meteo Aeronautica Militare has nailed the low for 10 days in a row
- Meteo.it has nailed the low for 9 days in a row
The situation around Montefalco
Rain on a good share of the days around Perugia over the last seven days. Over the last 14 days, Apple Weather has the highest score for the Montefalco area, but the runner-up is less than 3 points behind: the ranking can change from one day to the next. On temperatures alone, however, iLMeteo.it is more accurate in the provincial capital's data. Moderate wind on several days. On yesterday's report card for the provincial capital, the service ranked No. 4 over the week finished No. 2. Among nearby municipalities (Castel Ritaldi, Giano dell'Umbria) the ranking changes from one to the next.
Updated on 13 October 2026
Sun and moon today
3 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 5% illuminated
Map of Montefalco
Loading map…
Nearby towns
Localities in Montefalco
Get to know Montefalco
Over the last two months, next-day forecasts for the Perugia area had an average accuracy index of 70 out of 100 (average across all services). It is among the hardest areas to forecast in Italy: ranked 60 of 107.
Average accuracy by how far ahead the forecast is made:
- For tomorrow70/100 · fairly reliable
- 2 days ahead69/100 · fairly reliable
- 5 days ahead62/100 · fairly reliable