Cerreto di Spoleto: which weather forecast is most accurate
Data come from the province of Perugia (reference capital: Perugia), combined with nearby provinces weighted by distance. Over the last two weeks, Meteo Aeronautica Militare got it wrong least often in this area (67/100).
No weather alerts today for Cerreto di Spoleto · Source: Italian Civil Protection Department
Most accurate in this area, last 2 weeks
Meteo Aeronautica Militare
At the province level
Rain nearby, right now
The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Cerreto di Spoleto, with light intensity.
Observed data from the latest radar sweep (10:35) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection
Yesterday in Perugia
Observed data for 11 OctoberThe reference provincial capital for Cerreto di Spoleto is Perugia
How we calculate the score
Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services with data measured in the provincial capitals. The score runs from 0 to 100 and covers the last 14 days: 75% is about forecasting rain and 25% about temperature. Cerreto di Spoleto is not a measuring point: the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by distance.
How much each province counts
For this town the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by geographic distance.
Provinces considered:
Weather service ranking for this area
- 1Meteo Aeronautica Militare67/100
- 2Apple Weather64/100No public website
- 33BMeteo57/100
- 4Meteo.it56/100
- 5iLMeteo.it45/100
Yesterday's report card
11 OctoberForecasts made the day before for Perugia, compared with what actually happened
- Meteo.itHighspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
- 3BMeteoHighspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
- iLMeteo.itHighcloseLowspot onRaincorrect
- Apple WeatherHighcloseLowspot onRaincorrect
- Meteo Aeronautica MilitareHighcloseLowspot onRaincorrect
Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees
Ongoing streaks
- Meteo.it has nailed the high for 30 days in a row
- Meteo Aeronautica Militare has nailed the low for 10 days in a row
- Meteo.it has nailed the low for 9 days in a row
The situation around Cerreto di Spoleto
Rain on a good share of the days around Perugia over the last seven days. Meteo Aeronautica Militare tops the 14-day ranking for the Cerreto di Spoleto area, but by a minimal margin of under 3 points over the second-placed service. Rain and temperatures have different winners: in the provincial capital Apple Weather does best on rain, and another service again on temperatures. Moderate and fairly steady wind through the week. Yesterday, in the check on the provincial capital, the week's No. 4 moved up to No. 2. Nearby municipalities (Vallo di Nera, Sellano) have the same service in first place. In wet weeks like this one, rain forecasts matter most: they account for three quarters of the score.
Updated on 13 October 2026
Sun and moon today
3 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 5% illuminated
Map of Cerreto di Spoleto
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Nearby towns
Localities in Cerreto di Spoleto
Get to know Cerreto di Spoleto
Over the last two months, next-day forecasts for the Perugia area had an average accuracy index of 70 out of 100 (average across all services). It is among the hardest areas to forecast in Italy: ranked 60 of 107.
Average accuracy by how far ahead the forecast is made:
- For tomorrow70/100 · fairly reliable
- 2 days ahead69/100 · fairly reliable
- 5 days ahead62/100 · fairly reliable