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Novella: which weather forecast is most accurate

Data come from the province of Trento (reference capital: Trento), combined with nearby provinces weighted by distance. Over the last two weeks, Apple Weather got it wrong least often in this area (52/100).

Earthquakes · Novella Air quality · Novella

No weather alerts today for Novella · Source: Italian Civil Protection Department

Most accurate in this area, last 2 weeks

Apple Weather

Data updated on 12 October 2026 at 14:48

At the province level

Catches 61% of actual rainfall
When it forecasts rain, it gets it right 85% of the time
Across 6 rainy days

Rain nearby, right now

The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Novella, with light intensity.

Observed data from the latest radar sweep (12:25) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection

Yesterday in Trento

Observed data for 11 October
21°
High
3°
Low
1.0 mm of rain
Coldest provincial capital in the region

The reference provincial capital for Novella is Trento

How we calculate the score

Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services with data measured in the provincial capitals. The score runs from 0 to 100 and covers the last 14 days: 75% is about forecasting rain and 25% about temperature. Novella is not a measuring point: the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by distance.

How we measure accuracy
How much each province counts

For this town the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by geographic distance.

Provinces considered:

TN58%BZ24%BL4%VI3%SO3%+3 more

Weather service ranking for this area

  1. 1
    Apple Weather
    52/100
    No public website
  2. 2
    iLMeteo.it
    48/100
    ilmeteo.it(opens in a new tab)
  3. 3
    3BMeteo
    44/100
    3bmeteo.com(opens in a new tab)
  4. 4
    Meteo.it
    39/100
    meteo.it(opens in a new tab)
  5. 5
    Meteo Aeronautica Militare
    38/100
    meteoam.it(opens in a new tab)

Yesterday's report card

11 October

Forecasts made the day before for Trento, compared with what actually happened

iLMeteo.itWinner of the day
  • iLMeteo.it
    HighcloseLowoffRaincorrect
  • Meteo.it
    Highspot onLowoffRainwrong
  • Apple Weather
    Highspot onLowoffRainwrong
  • 3BMeteo
    Highspot onLowoffRainwrong
  • Meteo Aeronautica Militare
    Highspot onLowoffRainwrong

Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees

Ongoing streaks

  • iLMeteo.it has called the rain right for 4 days in a row

The situation around Novella

A wet week around Trento, with frequent precipitation. Leading for the Novella area over the last 14 days is Apple Weather. For rain forecasts alone, however, the most accurate service in the provincial capital is iLMeteo.it. Worth noting: the wind, strong on several days. Yesterday's report card reshuffled the order: the week's No. 4 finished No. 2. Nearby municipalities (Dambel, Livo) have the same service in first place. In wet weeks like this one, rain forecasts matter most: they account for three quarters of the score.

Updated on 13 October 2026

Sun and moon today

07:29
Sunrise
18:33
Sunset
11h 4m
Daylight

3 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday

Waxing crescent, 5% illuminated

Map of Novella

Loading map…

Nearby towns

Dambel
3.6 km
Livo
4.9 km
Sanzeno
5.1 km
Romeno
5.4 km

Localities in Novella

Arsio
Brez
Cagnò
Carnalez
Caseta
Cloz
Dargai
Doss dei Pifferli
Fontanaboi
i Miauneri

Get to know Novella

Over the last two months, next-day forecasts for the Trento area had an average accuracy index of 63 out of 100 (average across all services). It is among the hardest areas to forecast in Italy: ranked 94 of 107.

Average accuracy by how far ahead the forecast is made:

  • For tomorrow
    63/100 · fairly reliable
  • 2 days ahead
    63/100 · fairly reliable
  • 5 days ahead
    57/100 · fairly reliable
3,664
Inhabitants
022253
ISTAT code
Trento (TN) • Trentino-Alto Adige