Valle Aurina: which weather forecast is most accurate
Data come from the province of Bolzano (reference capital: Bolzano), combined with nearby provinces weighted by distance. Over the last two weeks, Apple Weather got it wrong least often in this area (56/100).
Most accurate in this area, last 2 weeks
Apple Weather
At the province level
Rain nearby, right now
The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Valle Aurina, with light intensity.
Observed data from the latest radar sweep (11:00) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection
Yesterday in Bolzano
Observed data for 11 OctoberThe reference provincial capital for Valle Aurina is Bolzano
How we calculate the score
Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services with data measured in the provincial capitals. The score runs from 0 to 100 and covers the last 14 days: 75% is about forecasting rain and 25% about temperature. Valle Aurina is not a measuring point: the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by distance.
How much each province counts
For this town the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by geographic distance.
Provinces considered:
Weather service ranking for this area
- 1Apple Weather56/100No public website
- 23BMeteo48/100
- 3Meteo Aeronautica Militare47/100
- 4Meteo.it45/100
- 5iLMeteo.it42/100
Yesterday's report card
11 OctoberForecasts made the day before for Bolzano, compared with what actually happened
- Meteo Aeronautica MilitareHighspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
- Apple WeatherHighspot onLowoffRaincorrect
- iLMeteo.itHighspot onLowoffRaincorrect
- 3BMeteoHighspot onLowoffRaincorrect
- Meteo.itHighspot onLowcloseRaincorrect
Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees
Ongoing streaks
- 3BMeteo has nailed the high for 9 days in a row
- Apple Weather has called the rain right for 5 days in a row
- Meteo.it has nailed the high for 4 days in a row
The situation around Valle Aurina
A rainy week around Bolzano: rain fell on several of the last seven days. The 14-day ranking for the Valle Aurina area shows a clear gap: Apple Weather is 8 points ahead of the second-placed service. On temperatures alone, however, Meteo Aeronautica Militare is more accurate in the provincial capital's data. Frequent windy days, with gusts that were strong at times. Yesterday, in the check on the provincial capital, the week's No. 2 moved up to No. 1. In nearby municipalities (Campo Tures, Selva dei Molini) the leading service does not change.
Updated on 13 October 2026
Sun and moon today
3 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 5% illuminated
Map of Valle Aurina
Loading map…
Nearby towns
Localities in Valle Aurina
Get to know Valle Aurina
Over the last two months, next-day forecasts for the Bolzano area had an average accuracy index of 62 out of 100 (average across all services). It is among the hardest areas to forecast in Italy: ranked 99 of 107.
Average accuracy by how far ahead the forecast is made:
- For tomorrow62/100 · fairly reliable
- 2 days ahead61/100 · fairly reliable
- 5 days ahead56/100 · fairly reliable