Ultimo: which weather forecast is most accurate
Data come from the province of Bolzano (reference capital: Bolzano), combined with nearby provinces weighted by distance. Over the last two weeks, Apple Weather got it wrong least often in this area (53/100).
Most accurate in this area, last 2 weeks
Apple Weather
At the province level
Rain nearby, right now
The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Ultimo, with light intensity.
Observed data from the latest radar sweep (10:40) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection
Yesterday in Bolzano
Observed data for 11 OctoberThe reference provincial capital for Ultimo is Bolzano
How we calculate the score
Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services with data measured in the provincial capitals. The score runs from 0 to 100 and covers the last 14 days: 75% is about forecasting rain and 25% about temperature. Ultimo is not a measuring point: the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by distance.
How much each province counts
For this town the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by geographic distance.
Provinces considered:
Weather service ranking for this area
- 1Apple Weather53/100No public website
- 23BMeteo43/100
- 3Meteo Aeronautica Militare41/100
- 4iLMeteo.it39/100
- 5Meteo.it39/100
Yesterday's report card
11 OctoberForecasts made the day before for Bolzano, compared with what actually happened
- Meteo Aeronautica MilitareHighspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
- Apple WeatherHighspot onLowoffRaincorrect
- iLMeteo.itHighspot onLowoffRaincorrect
- 3BMeteoHighspot onLowoffRaincorrect
- Meteo.itHighspot onLowcloseRaincorrect
Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees
Ongoing streaks
- 3BMeteo has nailed the high for 9 days in a row
- Apple Weather has called the rain right for 5 days in a row
- Meteo.it has nailed the high for 4 days in a row
The situation around Ultimo
Rain on a good share of the days around Bolzano over the last seven days. Over the last 14 days, Apple Weather has the highest score for the Ultimo area, 10 points ahead of the runner-up. Looking at temperatures only, first place in the provincial capital goes to Meteo Aeronautica Militare. Worth noting: the wind, strong on several days. Yesterday, in the check on the provincial capital, the week's No. 2 moved up to No. 1. The top-ranked service is the same in nearby municipalities too (Rumo, Proves).
Updated on 13 October 2026
Sun and moon today
3 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 5% illuminated
Map of Ultimo
Loading map…
Nearby towns
Localities in Ultimo
Get to know Ultimo
Over the last two months, next-day forecasts for the Bolzano area had an average accuracy index of 62 out of 100 (average across all services). It is among the hardest areas to forecast in Italy: ranked 99 of 107.
Average accuracy by how far ahead the forecast is made:
- For tomorrow62/100 · fairly reliable
- 2 days ahead61/100 · fairly reliable
- 5 days ahead56/100 · fairly reliable