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Back to the province of Bolzano

Cermes: which weather forecast is most accurate

Data come from the province of Bolzano (reference capital: Bolzano), combined with nearby provinces weighted by distance. Over the last two weeks, Apple Weather got it wrong least often in this area (53/100).

Earthquakes · Cermes Air quality · Cermes

Most accurate in this area, last 2 weeks

Apple Weather

Matches the most accurate service in the province
Data updated on 12 October 2026 at 14:48

At the province level

Catches 44% of actual rainfall
When it forecasts rain, it gets it right 73% of the time
Across 6 rainy days

Rain nearby, right now

The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Cermes, with light intensity.

Observed data from the latest radar sweep (14:05) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection

Yesterday in Bolzano

Observed data for 11 October
21°
High
4°
Low
No rain
Hottest provincial capital in the regionRanks 3 of 107 among Italy's coldest provincial capitals

The reference provincial capital for Cermes is Bolzano

How we calculate the score

Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services with data measured in the provincial capitals. The score runs from 0 to 100 and covers the last 14 days: 75% is about forecasting rain and 25% about temperature. Cermes is not a measuring point: the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by distance.

How we measure accuracy
How much each province counts

For this town the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by geographic distance.

Provinces considered:

BZ69%TN13%BL5%SO3%VI3%+3 more

Weather service ranking for this area

  1. 1
    Apple Weather
    53/100
    No public website
  2. 2
    3BMeteo
    42/100
    3bmeteo.com(opens in a new tab)
  3. 3
    Meteo Aeronautica Militare
    41/100
    meteoam.it(opens in a new tab)
  4. 4
    Meteo.it
    38/100
    meteo.it(opens in a new tab)
  5. 5
    iLMeteo.it
    37/100
    ilmeteo.it(opens in a new tab)

Yesterday's report card

11 October

Forecasts made the day before for Bolzano, compared with what actually happened

Meteo Aeronautica MilitareWinner of the day
  • Meteo Aeronautica Militare
    Highspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
  • Apple Weather
    Highspot onLowoffRaincorrect
  • iLMeteo.it
    Highspot onLowoffRaincorrect
  • 3BMeteo
    Highspot onLowoffRaincorrect
  • Meteo.it
    Highspot onLowcloseRaincorrect

Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees

Ongoing streaks

  • 3BMeteo has nailed the high for 9 days in a row
  • Apple Weather has called the rain right for 5 days in a row
  • Meteo.it has nailed the high for 4 days in a row

The situation around Cermes

Around Bolzano, precipitation was frequent over the past week. The 14-day ranking for the Cermes area shows a clear gap: Apple Weather is 11 points ahead of the second-placed service. Looking at temperatures only, first place in the provincial capital goes to Meteo Aeronautica Militare. Worth noting: the wind, strong on several days. On yesterday's report card for the provincial capital, the service ranked No. 2 over the week finished No. 1. In nearby municipalities (Marlengo, Lana) the leading service does not change.

Updated on 13 October 2026

Sun and moon today

07:29
Sunrise
18:33
Sunset
11h 4m
Daylight

3 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday

Waxing crescent, 5% illuminated

Map of Cermes

Loading map…

Nearby towns

Marlengo
2.1 km
Lana
3.4 km
Merano
4.6 km
Lagundo
5.2 km

Localities in Cermes

Baslan
i Masi
Larchbichl
Tscherms - Cermes

Get to know Cermes

Over the last two months, next-day forecasts for the Bolzano area had an average accuracy index of 62 out of 100 (average across all services). It is among the hardest areas to forecast in Italy: ranked 99 of 107.

Average accuracy by how far ahead the forecast is made:

  • For tomorrow
    62/100 · fairly reliable
  • 2 days ahead
    61/100 · fairly reliable
  • 5 days ahead
    56/100 · fairly reliable
1,411
Inhabitants
021020
ISTAT code
Bolzano (BZ) • Trentino-Alto Adige