Vernio: which weather forecast is most accurate
Data come from the province of Prato (reference capital: Prato), combined with nearby provinces weighted by distance. Over the last two weeks, 3BMeteo got it wrong least often in this area (72/100).
No weather alerts today for Vernio · Source: Italian Civil Protection Department
Most accurate in this area, last 2 weeks
3BMeteo
At the province level
Rain nearby, right now
The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Vernio, with light intensity.
Observed data from the latest radar sweep (11:20) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection
Yesterday in Prato
Observed data for 11 OctoberThe reference provincial capital for Vernio is Prato
How we calculate the score
Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services with data measured in the provincial capitals. The score runs from 0 to 100 and covers the last 14 days: 75% is about forecasting rain and 25% about temperature. Vernio is not a measuring point: the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by distance.
How much each province counts
For this town the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by geographic distance.
Provinces considered:
Weather service ranking for this area
- 13BMeteo72/100
- 2Apple Weather69/100No public website
- 3Meteo Aeronautica Militare60/100
- 4Meteo.it54/100
- 5iLMeteo.it52/100
Yesterday's report card
11 OctoberForecasts made the day before for Prato, compared with what actually happened
- 3BMeteoHighspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
- Meteo Aeronautica MilitareHighspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
- Apple WeatherHighspot onLowcloseRaincorrect
- Meteo.itHighspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
- iLMeteo.itHighoffLowcloseRaincorrect
Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees
Ongoing streaks
- 3BMeteo has nailed the high for 24 days in a row
- Meteo Aeronautica Militare has nailed the high for 24 days in a row
- Meteo.it has nailed the high for 15 days in a row
The situation around Vernio
A rainy week around Prato: rain fell on several of the last seven days. The 14-day ranking for the Vernio area is very tight: 3BMeteo leads by less than 3 points over the runner-up. For rain alone, the most accurate service in the provincial capital is Apple Weather, while a third service leads on temperatures. Gentle breezes, with no notable gusts. Yesterday's report card reshuffled the order: the week's No. 4 finished No. 3. The top-ranked service is the same in nearby municipalities too (Cantagallo, Barberino di Mugello). Rain makes up three quarters of the score and temperature one quarter: in a week this wet, rain is what makes the difference.
Updated on 13 October 2026
Sun and moon today
3 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 5% illuminated
Map of Vernio
Loading map…
Nearby towns
Localities in Vernio
Get to know Vernio
Over the last two months, next-day forecasts for the Prato area had an average accuracy index of 67 out of 100 (average across all services). It is among the hardest areas to forecast in Italy: ranked 72 of 107.
Average accuracy by how far ahead the forecast is made:
- For tomorrow67/100 · fairly reliable
- 2 days ahead68/100 · fairly reliable
- 5 days ahead64/100 · fairly reliable