Castelnuovo di Garfagnana: which weather forecast is most accurate
Data come from the province of Lucca (reference capital: Lucca), combined with nearby provinces weighted by distance. Over the last two weeks, 3BMeteo got it wrong least often in this area (72/100).
No weather alerts today for Castelnuovo di Garfagnana · Source: Italian Civil Protection Department
Most accurate in this area, last 2 weeks
3BMeteo
At the province level
Rain nearby, right now
The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Castelnuovo di Garfagnana, with light intensity.
Observed data from the latest radar sweep (09:50) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection
Yesterday in Lucca
Observed data for 11 OctoberThe reference provincial capital for Castelnuovo di Garfagnana is Lucca
How we calculate the score
Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services with data measured in the provincial capitals. The score runs from 0 to 100 and covers the last 14 days: 75% is about forecasting rain and 25% about temperature. Castelnuovo di Garfagnana is not a measuring point: the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by distance.
How much each province counts
For this town the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by geographic distance.
Provinces considered:
Weather service ranking for this area
- 13BMeteo72/100
- 2Meteo Aeronautica Militare59/100
- 3Apple Weather57/100No public website
- 4Meteo.it53/100
- 5iLMeteo.it34/100
Yesterday's report card
11 OctoberForecasts made the day before for Lucca, compared with what actually happened
- Apple WeatherHighspot onLowcloseRainwrong
- 3BMeteoHighspot onLowspot onRainwrong
- Meteo.itHighcloseLowspot onRainwrong
- Meteo Aeronautica MilitareHighspot onLowspot onRainwrong
- iLMeteo.itHighoffLowcloseRainwrong
Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees
Ongoing streaks
- 3BMeteo has nailed the high for 6 days in a row
- Meteo Aeronautica Militare has nailed the low for 5 days in a row
- Meteo Aeronautica Militare has nailed the high for 4 days in a row
The situation around Castelnuovo di Garfagnana
Rain on a good share of the days around Lucca over the last seven days. 3BMeteo leads the 14-day ranking for the Castelnuovo di Garfagnana area by a wide margin: 13 points over the runner-up. Gentle breezes, with no notable gusts. Yesterday, in the check on the provincial capital, the week's No. 4 moved up to No. 1. The top-ranked service is the same in nearby municipalities too (Molazzana, Gallicano).
Updated on 13 October 2026
Sun and moon today
3 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 5% illuminated
Map of Castelnuovo di Garfagnana
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Nearby towns
Localities in Castelnuovo di Garfagnana
Get to know Castelnuovo di Garfagnana
Over the last two months, next-day forecasts for the Lucca area had an average accuracy index of 63 out of 100 (average across all services). It is among the hardest areas to forecast in Italy: ranked 92 of 107.
Average accuracy by how far ahead the forecast is made:
- For tomorrow63/100 · fairly reliable
- 2 days ahead64/100 · fairly reliable
- 5 days ahead60/100 · fairly reliable