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Cecina: which weather forecast is most accurate

Data come from the province of Livorno (reference capital: Livorno), combined with nearby provinces weighted by distance. Over the last two weeks, Meteo Aeronautica Militare got it wrong least often in this area (62/100).

No weather alerts today for Cecina · Source: Italian Civil Protection Department

Most accurate in this area, last 2 weeks

Meteo Aeronautica Militare

Data updated on 12 October 2026 at 14:48

At the province level

Catches 61% of actual rainfall
When it forecasts rain, it gets it right 85% of the time
Across 6 rainy days

Rain nearby, right now

The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Cecina, with light intensity.

Observed data from the latest radar sweep (09:50) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection

Yesterday in Livorno

Observed data for 11 October
25°
High
11°
Low
1.4 mm of rain

The reference provincial capital for Cecina is Livorno

How we calculate the score

Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services with data measured in the provincial capitals. The score runs from 0 to 100 and covers the last 14 days: 75% is about forecasting rain and 25% about temperature. Cecina is not a measuring point: the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by distance.

How much each province counts

For this town the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by geographic distance.

Provinces considered:

LI57%PI25%PT4%FI3%LU3%+3 more

Weather service ranking for this area

  1. 1
    Meteo Aeronautica Militare
    62/100
  2. 2
    3BMeteo
    61/100
  3. 3
    Apple Weather
    61/100
    No public website
  4. 4
    Meteo.it
    58/100
  5. 5
    iLMeteo.it
    40/100

Yesterday's report card

11 October

Forecasts made the day before for Livorno, compared with what actually happened

Meteo Aeronautica MilitareWinner of the day
  • Meteo Aeronautica Militare
    Highspot onLowcloseRaincorrect
  • Apple Weather
    Highspot onLowoffRaincorrect
  • 3BMeteo
    Highspot onLowoffRainwrong
  • Meteo.it
    HighcloseLowcloseRainwrong
  • iLMeteo.it
    HighoffLowcloseRainwrong

Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees

Ongoing streaks

  • Meteo Aeronautica Militare has nailed the high for 5 days in a row
  • 3BMeteo has nailed the high for 5 days in a row
  • Meteo Aeronautica Militare has called the rain right for 5 days in a row

The situation around Cecina

A rainy week around Livorno: rain fell on several of the last seven days. Meteo Aeronautica Militare tops the 14-day ranking for the Cecina area, but by a minimal margin of under 3 points over the second-placed service. Rain and temperatures have different winners: in the provincial capital Apple Weather does best on rain, and another service again on temperatures. Little wind: light breezes on most days. Yesterday's report card reshuffled the order: the week's No. 4 finished No. 2. In nearby municipalities (Montescudaio, Casale Marittimo) first place goes to a different service. In wet weeks like this one, rain forecasts matter most: they account for three quarters of the score.

Updated on 13 October 2026

Sun and moon today

07:28
Sunrise
18:39
Sunset
11h 10m
Daylight

3 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday

Waxing crescent, 5% illuminated

Map of Cecina

Loading map…

Nearby towns

Get to know Cecina

Over the last two months, next-day forecasts for the Livorno area had an average accuracy index of 61 out of 100 (average across all services). It is among the hardest areas to forecast in Italy: ranked 100 of 107.

Average accuracy by how far ahead the forecast is made:

  • For tomorrow
    61/100 · fairly reliable
  • 2 days ahead
    61/100 · fairly reliable
  • 5 days ahead
    58/100 · fairly reliable
27,992
Inhabitants
049007
ISTAT code
Livorno (LI) • Tuscany