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Scarlino: which weather forecast is most accurate

Data come from the province of Grosseto (reference capital: Grosseto), combined with nearby provinces weighted by distance. Over the last two weeks, 3BMeteo got it wrong least often in this area (68/100).

Earthquakes · Scarlino Air quality · Scarlino

No weather alerts today for Scarlino · Source: Italian Civil Protection Department

Most accurate in this area, last 2 weeks

3BMeteo

Matches the most accurate service in the province
Data updated on 12 October 2026 at 14:48

At the province level

Catches 67% of actual rainfall
When it forecasts rain, it gets it right 100% of the time
Across 5 rainy days

Rain nearby, right now

The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Scarlino, with light intensity.

Observed data from the latest radar sweep (09:45) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection

Yesterday in Grosseto

Observed data for 11 October
25°
High
11°
Low
No rain

The reference provincial capital for Scarlino is Grosseto

How we calculate the score

Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services with data measured in the provincial capitals. The score runs from 0 to 100 and covers the last 14 days: 75% is about forecasting rain and 25% about temperature. Scarlino is not a measuring point: the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by distance.

How we measure accuracy
How much each province counts

For this town the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by geographic distance.

Provinces considered:

GR52%LI23%SI8%PI6%FI3%+3 more

Weather service ranking for this area

  1. 1
    3BMeteo
    68/100
    3bmeteo.com(opens in a new tab)
  2. 2
    Meteo Aeronautica Militare
    65/100
    meteoam.it(opens in a new tab)
  3. 3
    Apple Weather
    64/100
    No public website
  4. 4
    Meteo.it
    59/100
    meteo.it(opens in a new tab)
  5. 5
    iLMeteo.it
    43/100
    ilmeteo.it(opens in a new tab)

Yesterday's report card

11 October

Forecasts made the day before for Grosseto, compared with what actually happened

3BMeteoWinner of the day
  • 3BMeteo
    Highspot onLowcloseRaincorrect
  • Meteo.it
    Highspot onLowcloseRaincorrect
  • Meteo Aeronautica Militare
    Highspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
  • iLMeteo.it
    HighoffLowcloseRaincorrect
  • Apple Weather
    Highspot onLowoffRaincorrect

Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees

Ongoing streaks

  • Meteo Aeronautica Militare has nailed the low for 31 days in a row
  • 3BMeteo has called the rain right for 10 days in a row
  • Meteo.it has called the rain right for 6 days in a row

The situation around Scarlino

A wet week around Grosseto, with frequent precipitation. Leading for the Scarlino area over the last 14 days is 3BMeteo, although its lead over the runner-up is under 3 points. Looking at temperatures only, first place in the provincial capital goes to Meteo Aeronautica Militare. Frequent windy days, with gusts that were strong at times. Yesterday's report card reshuffled the order: the week's No. 3 finished No. 2. The top-ranked service is the same in nearby municipalities too (Follonica, Gavorrano).

Updated on 13 October 2026

Sun and moon today

07:27
Sunrise
18:38
Sunset
11h 11m
Daylight

3 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday

Waxing crescent, 5% illuminated

Map of Scarlino

Loading map…

Nearby towns

Follonica
9.1 km
Gavorrano
10.4 km
Castiglione della Pescaia
10.6 km
Massa Marittima
15.6 km

Get to know Scarlino

Over the last two months, next-day forecasts for the Grosseto area had an average accuracy index of 74 out of 100 (average across all services). It ranks 15 of 107 among Italy's most predictable areas.

Average accuracy by how far ahead the forecast is made:

  • For tomorrow
    74/100 · very reliable
  • 2 days ahead
    74/100 · very reliable
  • 5 days ahead
    69/100 · fairly reliable
3,699
Inhabitants
053024
ISTAT code
Grosseto (GR) • Tuscany