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Florence: which weather forecast is most accurate

Florence is the provincial capital: this is where we check the weather services' forecasts against measured data every day. Over the last two weeks, 3BMeteo got it wrong least often in this area (80/100).

Earthquakes · Florence Air quality · Florence

No weather alerts today for Florence · Source: Italian Civil Protection Department

Most accurate in this area, last 2 weeks

3BMeteo

There is no clear winner at the province level
Data updated on 12 October 2026 at 14:48

Rain nearby, right now

The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Florence, with light intensity.

Observed data from the latest radar sweep (12:10) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection

Yesterday in Firenze

Observed data for 11 October
25°
High
11°
Low
No rain
Hottest provincial capital in the regionColdest provincial capital in the region

The reference provincial capital for Florence is Firenze

How we calculate the score

Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services with data measured in the provincial capitals. The score runs from 0 to 100 and covers the last 14 days: 75% is about forecasting rain and 25% about temperature. Florence is one of the measuring points: the score mainly uses the data collected here.

How we measure accuracy
How much each province counts

For this town the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by geographic distance.

Provinces considered:

FI89%PO6%PT2%AR<1%PI<1%+3 more

Weather service ranking for this area

  1. 1
    3BMeteo
    80/100
    3bmeteo.com(opens in a new tab)
  2. 2
    Meteo.it
    77/100
    meteo.it(opens in a new tab)
  3. 3
    Apple Weather
    64/100
    No public website
  4. 4
    Meteo Aeronautica Militare
    60/100
    meteoam.it(opens in a new tab)
  5. 5
    iLMeteo.it
    57/100
    ilmeteo.it(opens in a new tab)

Yesterday's report card

11 October

Forecasts made the day before for Firenze, compared with what actually happened

Meteo.itWinner of the day
  • Meteo.it
    Highspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
  • Meteo Aeronautica Militare
    Highspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
  • 3BMeteo
    Highspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
  • iLMeteo.it
    HighoffLowcloseRaincorrect
  • Apple Weather
    Highspot onLowcloseRaincorrect

Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees

Ongoing streaks

  • 3BMeteo has nailed the high for 32 days in a row
  • Meteo.it has nailed the high for 32 days in a row
  • Meteo Aeronautica Militare has nailed the high for 29 days in a row

The situation around Florence

A wet week around Firenze, with frequent precipitation. Leading for the Firenze area over the last 14 days is 3BMeteo. Gentle breezes, with no notable gusts. In nearby municipalities (Fiesole, Sesto Fiorentino) the leading service does not change.

Updated on 13 October 2026

Sun and moon today

07:26
Sunrise
18:35
Sunset
11h 9m
Daylight

3 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday

Waxing crescent, 5% illuminated

Map of Florence

Loading map…

Nearby towns

Fiesole
6.6 km
Sesto Fiorentino
7 km
Bagno a Ripoli
8.2 km
Impruneta
8.2 km

Localities in Florence

Badia a Ripoli
Badiuzza
Bandino
Barbadoro
Baronta
Bellariva
Borgo delle Lame
Brozzi
Callai
Campo di Marte

Get to know Florence

Over the last two months, next-day forecasts for the Firenze area had an average accuracy index of 71 out of 100 (average across all services). It ranks 48 of 107 among Italy's most predictable areas.

Average accuracy by how far ahead the forecast is made:

  • For tomorrow
    71/100 · very reliable
  • 2 days ahead
    71/100 · very reliable
  • 5 days ahead
    64/100 · fairly reliable
358,079
Inhabitants
048017
ISTAT code
Florence (FI) • Tuscany