Castelfiorentino: which weather forecast is most accurate
Data come from the province of Florence (reference capital: Florence), combined with nearby provinces weighted by distance. Over the last two weeks, 3BMeteo got it wrong least often in this area (77/100).
No weather alerts today for Castelfiorentino · Source: Italian Civil Protection Department
Most accurate in this area, last 2 weeks
3BMeteo
Rain nearby, right now
The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Castelfiorentino, with light intensity.
Observed data from the latest radar sweep (12:15) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection
Yesterday in Firenze
Observed data for 11 OctoberThe reference provincial capital for Castelfiorentino is Firenze
How we calculate the score
Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services with data measured in the provincial capitals. The score runs from 0 to 100 and covers the last 14 days: 75% is about forecasting rain and 25% about temperature. Castelfiorentino is not a measuring point: the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by distance.
How much each province counts
For this town the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by geographic distance.
Provinces considered:
Weather service ranking for this area
- 13BMeteo77/100
- 2Meteo.it72/100
- 3Apple Weather63/100No public website
- 4Meteo Aeronautica Militare60/100
- 5iLMeteo.it55/100
Yesterday's report card
11 OctoberForecasts made the day before for Firenze, compared with what actually happened
- Meteo.itHighspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
- Meteo Aeronautica MilitareHighspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
- 3BMeteoHighspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
- iLMeteo.itHighoffLowcloseRaincorrect
- Apple WeatherHighspot onLowcloseRaincorrect
Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees
Ongoing streaks
- 3BMeteo has nailed the high for 32 days in a row
- Meteo.it has nailed the high for 32 days in a row
- Meteo Aeronautica Militare has nailed the high for 29 days in a row
The situation around Castelfiorentino
Rain on a good share of the days around Firenze over the last seven days. 3BMeteo leads the 14-day ranking for the Castelfiorentino area. Light wind for most of the week. The top-ranked service is the same in nearby municipalities too (Montespertoli, Empoli).
Updated on 13 October 2026
Sun and moon today
3 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 5% illuminated
Map of Castelfiorentino
Loading map…
Nearby towns
Get to know Castelfiorentino
Over the last two months, next-day forecasts for the Firenze area had an average accuracy index of 71 out of 100 (average across all services). It ranks 48 of 107 among Italy's most predictable areas.
Average accuracy by how far ahead the forecast is made:
- For tomorrow71/100 · very reliable
- 2 days ahead71/100 · very reliable
- 5 days ahead64/100 · fairly reliable