Cavriglia: which weather forecast is most accurate
Data come from the province of Arezzo (reference capital: Arezzo), combined with nearby provinces weighted by distance. Over the last two weeks, 3BMeteo got it wrong least often in this area (61/100).
No weather alerts today for Cavriglia · Source: Italian Civil Protection Department
Most accurate in this area, last 2 weeks
3BMeteo
At the province level
Rain nearby, right now
The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Cavriglia, with light intensity.
Observed data from the latest radar sweep (09:50) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection
Yesterday in Arezzo
Observed data for 11 OctoberThe reference provincial capital for Cavriglia is Arezzo
How we calculate the score
Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services with data measured in the provincial capitals. The score runs from 0 to 100 and covers the last 14 days: 75% is about forecasting rain and 25% about temperature. Cavriglia is not a measuring point: the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by distance.
How much each province counts
For this town the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by geographic distance.
Provinces considered:
Weather service ranking for this area
- 13BMeteo61/100
- 2Apple Weather59/100No public website
- 3Meteo.it55/100
- 4Meteo Aeronautica Militare54/100
- 5iLMeteo.it50/100
Yesterday's report card
11 OctoberForecasts made the day before for Arezzo, compared with what actually happened
- iLMeteo.itHighoffLowspot onRainwrong
- Meteo.itHighspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
- Meteo Aeronautica MilitareHighcloseLowspot onRaincorrect
- 3BMeteoHighcloseLowspot onRaincorrect
- Apple WeatherHighspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees
Ongoing streaks
- iLMeteo.it has nailed the low for 14 days in a row
- Apple Weather has nailed the high for 3 days in a row
The situation around Cavriglia
A rainy week around Arezzo: rain fell on several of the last seven days. Leading for the Cavriglia area over the last 14 days is 3BMeteo, although its lead over the runner-up is under 3 points. On rain alone, Apple Weather does better in the provincial capital's data; on temperatures, yet another service is the most accurate. Light wind for most of the week. On yesterday's report card for the provincial capital, the service ranked No. 3 over the week finished No. 1. Nearby municipalities (San Giovanni Valdarno, Montevarchi) have the same service in first place. A curious detail: yesterday the service ranked last overall was among the two most accurate on the provincial capital's report card. Rain makes up three quarters of the score and temperature one quarter: in a week this wet, rain is what makes the difference.
Updated on 13 October 2026
Sun and moon today
3 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 5% illuminated
Map of Cavriglia
Loading map…
Nearby towns
Get to know Cavriglia
Over the last two months, next-day forecasts for the Arezzo area had an average accuracy index of 72 out of 100 (average across all services). It ranks 36 of 107 among Italy's most predictable areas.
Average accuracy by how far ahead the forecast is made:
- For tomorrow72/100 · very reliable
- 2 days ahead70/100 · fairly reliable
- 5 days ahead63/100 · fairly reliable