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Modica: which weather forecast is most accurate

Data come from the province of Ragusa (reference capital: Ragusa), combined with nearby provinces weighted by distance. Over the last two weeks, 3BMeteo got it wrong least often in this area (54/100).

Earthquakes · Modica Air quality · Modica

No weather alerts today for Modica · Source: Italian Civil Protection Department

Most accurate in this area, last 2 weeks

3BMeteo

There is no clear winner at the province level
Data updated on 12 October 2026 at 14:48

Rain nearby, right now

The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Modica, with light intensity.

Observed data from the latest radar sweep (10:30) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection

Yesterday in Ragusa

Observed data for 11 October
26°
High
14°
Low
No rain
Coldest provincial capital in the region

The reference provincial capital for Modica is Ragusa

How we calculate the score

Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services with data measured in the provincial capitals. The score runs from 0 to 100 and covers the last 14 days: 75% is about forecasting rain and 25% about temperature. Modica is not a measuring point: the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by distance.

How we measure accuracy
How much each province counts

For this town the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by geographic distance.

Provinces considered:

RG76%SR18%CT2%EN1%CL1%+3 more

Weather service ranking for this area

  1. 1
    3BMeteo
    54/100
    3bmeteo.com(opens in a new tab)
  2. 2
    Meteo Aeronautica Militare
    53/100
    meteoam.it(opens in a new tab)
  3. 3
    Meteo.it
    47/100
    meteo.it(opens in a new tab)
  4. 4
    Apple Weather
    36/100
    No public website
  5. 5
    iLMeteo.it
    27/100
    ilmeteo.it(opens in a new tab)

Yesterday's report card

11 October

Forecasts made the day before for Ragusa, compared with what actually happened

Meteo.itWinner of the day
  • Meteo.it
    Highspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
  • 3BMeteo
    HighcloseLowspot onRaincorrect
  • Meteo Aeronautica Militare
    HighcloseLowspot onRaincorrect
  • iLMeteo.it
    HighoffLowcloseRaincorrect
  • Apple Weather
    HighcloseLowspot onRaincorrect

Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees

Ongoing streaks

  • Meteo Aeronautica Militare has nailed the low for 26 days in a row
  • Meteo Aeronautica Militare has called the rain right for 10 days in a row
  • Apple Weather has nailed the low for 8 days in a row

The situation around Modica

A wet week around Ragusa, with frequent precipitation. Over the last 14 days, 3BMeteo has the highest score for the Modica area, but the runner-up is less than 3 points behind: the ranking can change from one day to the next. For temperatures, the most accurate service in the provincial capital is Meteo.it. Moderate wind on several days. Yesterday's report card reshuffled the order: the week's No. 2 finished No. 1. The top-ranked service is the same in nearby municipalities too (Rosolini, Ragusa).

Updated on 13 October 2026

Sun and moon today

07:05
Sunrise
18:27
Sunset
11h 21m
Daylight

2 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday

Waxing crescent, 5% illuminated

Map of Modica

Loading map…

Nearby towns

Rosolini
6.6 km
Ragusa
15.4 km
Noto
18.3 km
Giarratana
18.7 km

Localities in Modica

Balata di Modica
Caitina
Cammaratini
Cannizzara
Carbonara
Casa Albacara
Casa Arena
Casa Arezzo
Casa Ascenzo
Casa Badiola

Get to know Modica

Over the last two months, next-day forecasts for the Ragusa area had an average accuracy index of 66 out of 100 (average across all services). It is among the hardest areas to forecast in Italy: ranked 79 of 107.

Average accuracy by how far ahead the forecast is made:

  • For tomorrow
    66/100 · fairly reliable
  • 2 days ahead
    66/100 · fairly reliable
  • 5 days ahead
    64/100 · fairly reliable
53,959
Inhabitants
088006
ISTAT code
Ragusa (RG) • Sicily