Villafranca Tirrena: which weather forecast is most accurate
Data come from the province of Messina (reference capital: Messina), combined with nearby provinces weighted by distance. Over the last two weeks, Apple Weather got it wrong least often in this area (69/100).
Yellow alert today for thunderstorms and hydrogeological risk and flood risk
Source: Italian Civil Protection Department · 13 October
Most accurate in this area, last 2 weeks
Apple Weather
At the province level
Rain nearby, right now
The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Villafranca Tirrena, with light intensity.
Observed data from the latest radar sweep (10:35) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection
Yesterday in Messina
Observed data for 11 OctoberThe reference provincial capital for Villafranca Tirrena is Messina
How we calculate the score
Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services with data measured in the provincial capitals. The score runs from 0 to 100 and covers the last 14 days: 75% is about forecasting rain and 25% about temperature. Villafranca Tirrena is not a measuring point: the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by distance.
How much each province counts
For this town the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by geographic distance.
Provinces considered:
Weather service ranking for this area
- 1Apple Weather69/100No public website
- 2Meteo Aeronautica Militare68/100
- 33BMeteo67/100
- 4Meteo.it59/100
- 5iLMeteo.it45/100
Yesterday's report card
11 OctoberForecasts made the day before for Messina, compared with what actually happened
- 3BMeteoHighspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
- Apple WeatherHighcloseLowspot onRaincorrect
- Meteo.itHighspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
- Meteo Aeronautica MilitareHighspot onLowcloseRaincorrect
- iLMeteo.itHighcloseLowspot onRainwrong
Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees
Ongoing streaks
- Meteo Aeronautica Militare has nailed the high for 28 days in a row
- 3BMeteo has nailed the high for 24 days in a row
- Meteo.it has nailed the high for 24 days in a row
The situation around Villafranca Tirrena
Rain on a good share of the days around Messina over the last seven days. Over the last 14 days, Apple Weather has the highest score for the Villafranca Tirrena area, but the runner-up is less than 3 points behind: the ranking can change from one day to the next. On temperatures alone, however, 3BMeteo is more accurate in the provincial capital's data. Strong wind for most of the week, with intense gusts. Yesterday, in the check on the provincial capital, the week's No. 2 moved up to No. 1. In nearby municipalities (Saponara, Spadafora) the leading service does not change.
Updated on 13 October 2026
Sun and moon today
2 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 5% illuminated
Map of Villafranca Tirrena
Loading map…
Nearby towns
Localities in Villafranca Tirrena
Get to know Villafranca Tirrena
Over the last two months, next-day forecasts for the Messina area had an average accuracy index of 69 out of 100 (average across all services). It is among the hardest areas to forecast in Italy: ranked 62 of 107.
Average accuracy by how far ahead the forecast is made:
- For tomorrow69/100 · fairly reliable
- 2 days ahead70/100 · fairly reliable
- 5 days ahead65/100 · fairly reliable