Roccalumera: which weather forecast is most accurate
Data come from the province of Messina (reference capital: Messina), combined with nearby provinces weighted by distance. Over the last two weeks, Apple Weather got it wrong least often in this area (69/100).
Yellow alert today for thunderstorms and hydrogeological risk and flood risk
Source: Italian Civil Protection Department · 13 October
Most accurate in this area, last 2 weeks
Apple Weather
At the province level
Rain nearby, right now
The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Roccalumera, with light intensity.
Observed data from the latest radar sweep (11:15) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection
Yesterday in Messina
Observed data for 11 OctoberThe reference provincial capital for Roccalumera is Messina
How we calculate the score
Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services with data measured in the provincial capitals. The score runs from 0 to 100 and covers the last 14 days: 75% is about forecasting rain and 25% about temperature. Roccalumera is not a measuring point: the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by distance.
How much each province counts
For this town the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by geographic distance.
Provinces considered:
Weather service ranking for this area
- 1Apple Weather69/100No public website
- 2Meteo Aeronautica Militare68/100
- 33BMeteo66/100
- 4Meteo.it58/100
- 5iLMeteo.it43/100
Yesterday's report card
11 OctoberForecasts made the day before for Messina, compared with what actually happened
- 3BMeteoHighspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
- Apple WeatherHighcloseLowspot onRaincorrect
- Meteo.itHighspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
- Meteo Aeronautica MilitareHighspot onLowcloseRaincorrect
- iLMeteo.itHighcloseLowspot onRainwrong
Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees
Ongoing streaks
- Meteo Aeronautica Militare has nailed the high for 28 days in a row
- 3BMeteo has nailed the high for 24 days in a row
- Meteo.it has nailed the high for 24 days in a row
The situation around Roccalumera
Rain on a good share of the days around Messina over the last seven days. Leading for the Roccalumera area over the last 14 days is Apple Weather, although its lead over the runner-up is under 3 points. For temperatures, the most accurate service in the provincial capital is 3BMeteo. A very windy week: sustained gusts on most days. Yesterday's report card reshuffled the order: the week's No. 2 finished No. 1. Among nearby municipalities (Nizza di Sicilia, Pagliara) the ranking changes from one to the next.
Updated on 13 October 2026
Sun and moon today
2 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 5% illuminated
Map of Roccalumera
Loading map…
Nearby towns
Localities in Roccalumera
Get to know Roccalumera
Over the last two months, next-day forecasts for the Messina area had an average accuracy index of 69 out of 100 (average across all services). It is among the hardest areas to forecast in Italy: ranked 62 of 107.
Average accuracy by how far ahead the forecast is made:
- For tomorrow69/100 · fairly reliable
- 2 days ahead70/100 · fairly reliable
- 5 days ahead65/100 · fairly reliable