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Mongiuffi Melia: which weather forecast is most accurate

Data come from the province of Messina (reference capital: Messina), combined with nearby provinces weighted by distance. Over the last two weeks, Meteo Aeronautica Militare got it wrong least often in this area (69/100).

Yellow alert today for thunderstorms and hydrogeological risk and flood risk

Source: Italian Civil Protection Department · 13 October

Most accurate in this area, last 2 weeks

Meteo Aeronautica Militare

Data updated on 12 October 2026 at 14:48

At the province level

Catches 80% of actual rainfall
When it forecasts rain, it gets it right 80% of the time
Across 5 rainy days

Rain nearby, right now

The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Mongiuffi Melia, with light intensity.

Observed data from the latest radar sweep (09:45) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection

Yesterday in Messina

Observed data for 11 October
25°
High
17°
Low
8.0 mm of rain

The reference provincial capital for Mongiuffi Melia is Messina

How we calculate the score

Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services with data measured in the provincial capitals. The score runs from 0 to 100 and covers the last 14 days: 75% is about forecasting rain and 25% about temperature. Mongiuffi Melia is not a measuring point: the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by distance.

How much each province counts

For this town the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by geographic distance.

Provinces considered:

ME65%CT15%EN5%RC5%SR4%+3 more

Weather service ranking for this area

  1. 1
    Meteo Aeronautica Militare
    69/100
  2. 2
    Apple Weather
    68/100
    No public website
  3. 3
    3BMeteo
    66/100
  4. 4
    Meteo.it
    59/100
  5. 5
    iLMeteo.it
    43/100

Yesterday's report card

11 October

Forecasts made the day before for Messina, compared with what actually happened

3BMeteoWinner of the day
  • 3BMeteo
    Highspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
  • Apple Weather
    HighcloseLowspot onRaincorrect
  • Meteo.it
    Highspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
  • Meteo Aeronautica Militare
    Highspot onLowcloseRaincorrect
  • iLMeteo.it
    HighcloseLowspot onRainwrong

Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees

Ongoing streaks

  • Meteo Aeronautica Militare has nailed the high for 28 days in a row
  • 3BMeteo has nailed the high for 24 days in a row
  • Meteo.it has nailed the high for 24 days in a row

The situation around Mongiuffi Melia

Around Messina, precipitation was frequent over the past week. Leading for the Mongiuffi Melia area over the last 14 days is Meteo Aeronautica Militare, although its lead over the runner-up is under 3 points. On rain alone, Apple Weather does better in the provincial capital's data; on temperatures, yet another service is the most accurate. Strong wind for most of the week, with intense gusts. Yesterday's report card reshuffled the order: the week's No. 2 finished No. 1. Nearby municipalities (Roccafiorita, Graniti) have the same service in first place. With this much rain, the part of the score that weighs most is the precipitation forecast (three quarters of the total).

Updated on 13 October 2026

Sun and moon today

07:05
Sunrise
18:24
Sunset
11h 20m
Daylight

2 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday

Waxing crescent, 5% illuminated

Map of Mongiuffi Melia

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Nearby towns

Localities in Mongiuffi Melia

Contrada Fanaca
Contrada Oliva
Contrada Porticella
Lampeli
Larderia
Melia
Mongiuffi

Get to know Mongiuffi Melia

Over the last two months, next-day forecasts for the Messina area had an average accuracy index of 69 out of 100 (average across all services). It is among the hardest areas to forecast in Italy: ranked 62 of 107.

Average accuracy by how far ahead the forecast is made:

  • For tomorrow
    69/100 · fairly reliable
  • 2 days ahead
    70/100 · fairly reliable
  • 5 days ahead
    65/100 · fairly reliable
653
Inhabitants
083055
ISTAT code
Messina (ME) • Sicily