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Back to the province of Messina

Itala: which weather forecast is most accurate

Data come from the province of Messina (reference capital: Messina), combined with nearby provinces weighted by distance. Over the last two weeks, Apple Weather got it wrong least often in this area (69/100).

Earthquakes · Itala Air quality · Itala

Yellow alert today for thunderstorms and hydrogeological risk and flood risk

Source: Italian Civil Protection Department · 13 October

Most accurate in this area, last 2 weeks

Apple Weather

Matches the most accurate service in the province
Data updated on 12 October 2026 at 14:48

At the province level

Catches 80% of actual rainfall
When it forecasts rain, it gets it right 80% of the time
Across 5 rainy days

Rain nearby, right now

The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Itala, with light intensity.

Observed data from the latest radar sweep (10:30) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection

Yesterday in Messina

Observed data for 11 October
25°
High
17°
Low
8.0 mm of rain

The reference provincial capital for Itala is Messina

How we calculate the score

Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services with data measured in the provincial capitals. The score runs from 0 to 100 and covers the last 14 days: 75% is about forecasting rain and 25% about temperature. Itala is not a measuring point: the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by distance.

How we measure accuracy
How much each province counts

For this town the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by geographic distance.

Provinces considered:

ME55%RC14%CT10%VV6%EN5%+3 more

Weather service ranking for this area

  1. 1
    Apple Weather
    69/100
    No public website
  2. 2
    Meteo Aeronautica Militare
    68/100
    meteoam.it(opens in a new tab)
  3. 3
    3BMeteo
    66/100
    3bmeteo.com(opens in a new tab)
  4. 4
    Meteo.it
    58/100
    meteo.it(opens in a new tab)
  5. 5
    iLMeteo.it
    44/100
    ilmeteo.it(opens in a new tab)

Yesterday's report card

11 October

Forecasts made the day before for Messina, compared with what actually happened

3BMeteoWinner of the day
  • 3BMeteo
    Highspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
  • Apple Weather
    HighcloseLowspot onRaincorrect
  • Meteo.it
    Highspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
  • Meteo Aeronautica Militare
    Highspot onLowcloseRaincorrect
  • iLMeteo.it
    HighcloseLowspot onRainwrong

Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees

Ongoing streaks

  • Meteo Aeronautica Militare has nailed the high for 28 days in a row
  • 3BMeteo has nailed the high for 24 days in a row
  • Meteo.it has nailed the high for 24 days in a row

The situation around Itala

Around Messina, precipitation was frequent over the past week. The 14-day ranking for the Itala area is very tight: Apple Weather leads by less than 3 points over the runner-up. Looking at temperatures only, first place in the provincial capital goes to 3BMeteo. Strong wind for most of the week, with intense gusts. Yesterday's report card reshuffled the order: the week's No. 2 finished No. 1. Nearby municipalities (Scaletta Zanclea, Alì) have the same service in first place.

Updated on 13 October 2026

Sun and moon today

07:04
Sunrise
18:24
Sunset
11h 20m
Daylight

2 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday

Waxing crescent, 5% illuminated

Map of Itala

Loading map…

Nearby towns

Scaletta Zanclea
1.7 km
Alì
2.6 km
Alì Terme
3.8 km
Fiumedinisi
5.7 km

Localities in Itala

Borgo
Casalello
Contrada Benedetto
Contrada Fontana
Croce
Itala
Itala Marina
Mannello
Quartarello

Get to know Itala

Over the last two months, next-day forecasts for the Messina area had an average accuracy index of 69 out of 100 (average across all services). It is among the hardest areas to forecast in Italy: ranked 62 of 107.

Average accuracy by how far ahead the forecast is made:

  • For tomorrow
    69/100 · fairly reliable
  • 2 days ahead
    70/100 · fairly reliable
  • 5 days ahead
    65/100 · fairly reliable
1,663
Inhabitants
083036
ISTAT code
Messina (ME) • Sicily