Castel di Lucio: which weather forecast is most accurate
Data come from the province of Messina (reference capital: Messina), combined with nearby provinces weighted by distance. Over the last two weeks, Meteo Aeronautica Militare got it wrong least often in this area (61/100).
No weather alerts today for Castel di Lucio · Source: Italian Civil Protection Department
Most accurate in this area, last 2 weeks
Meteo Aeronautica Militare
At the province level
Rain nearby, right now
The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Castel di Lucio, with light intensity.
Observed data from the latest radar sweep (10:35) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection
Yesterday in Messina
Observed data for 11 OctoberThe reference provincial capital for Castel di Lucio is Messina
How we calculate the score
Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services with data measured in the provincial capitals. The score runs from 0 to 100 and covers the last 14 days: 75% is about forecasting rain and 25% about temperature. Castel di Lucio is not a measuring point: the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by distance.
How much each province counts
For this town the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by geographic distance.
Provinces considered:
Weather service ranking for this area
- 1Meteo Aeronautica Militare61/100
- 23BMeteo59/100
- 3Apple Weather56/100No public website
- 4Meteo.it54/100
- 5iLMeteo.it33/100
Yesterday's report card
11 OctoberForecasts made the day before for Messina, compared with what actually happened
- 3BMeteoHighspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
- Apple WeatherHighcloseLowspot onRaincorrect
- Meteo.itHighspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
- Meteo Aeronautica MilitareHighspot onLowcloseRaincorrect
- iLMeteo.itHighcloseLowspot onRainwrong
Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees
Ongoing streaks
- Meteo Aeronautica Militare has nailed the high for 28 days in a row
- 3BMeteo has nailed the high for 24 days in a row
- Meteo.it has nailed the high for 24 days in a row
The situation around Castel di Lucio
A rainy week around Messina: rain fell on several of the last seven days. Meteo Aeronautica Militare tops the 14-day ranking for the Castel di Lucio area, but by a minimal margin of under 3 points over the second-placed service. For rain alone, the most accurate service in the provincial capital is Apple Weather, while a third service leads on temperatures. A very windy week: sustained gusts on most days. Yesterday, in the check on the provincial capital, the week's No. 2 moved up to No. 1. Nearby municipalities (San Mauro Castelverde, Pettineo) have the same service in first place. In wet weeks like this one, rain forecasts matter most: they account for three quarters of the score.
Updated on 13 October 2026
Sun and moon today
2 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 5% illuminated
Map of Castel di Lucio
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Nearby towns
Localities in Castel di Lucio
Get to know Castel di Lucio
Over the last two months, next-day forecasts for the Messina area had an average accuracy index of 69 out of 100 (average across all services). It is among the hardest areas to forecast in Italy: ranked 62 of 107.
Average accuracy by how far ahead the forecast is made:
- For tomorrow69/100 · fairly reliable
- 2 days ahead70/100 · fairly reliable
- 5 days ahead65/100 · fairly reliable