Caronia: which weather forecast is most accurate
Data come from the province of Messina (reference capital: Messina), combined with nearby provinces weighted by distance. Over the last two weeks, Meteo Aeronautica Militare got it wrong least often in this area (61/100).
No weather alerts today for Caronia · Source: Italian Civil Protection Department
Most accurate in this area, last 2 weeks
Meteo Aeronautica Militare
At the province level
Rain nearby, right now
The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Caronia, with light intensity.
Observed data from the latest radar sweep (11:25) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection
Yesterday in Messina
Observed data for 11 OctoberThe reference provincial capital for Caronia is Messina
How we calculate the score
Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services with data measured in the provincial capitals. The score runs from 0 to 100 and covers the last 14 days: 75% is about forecasting rain and 25% about temperature. Caronia is not a measuring point: the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by distance.
How much each province counts
For this town the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by geographic distance.
Provinces considered:
Weather service ranking for this area
- 1Meteo Aeronautica Militare61/100
- 23BMeteo59/100
- 3Apple Weather57/100No public website
- 4Meteo.it55/100
- 5iLMeteo.it35/100
Yesterday's report card
11 OctoberForecasts made the day before for Messina, compared with what actually happened
- 3BMeteoHighspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
- Apple WeatherHighcloseLowspot onRaincorrect
- Meteo.itHighspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
- Meteo Aeronautica MilitareHighspot onLowcloseRaincorrect
- iLMeteo.itHighcloseLowspot onRainwrong
Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees
Ongoing streaks
- Meteo Aeronautica Militare has nailed the high for 28 days in a row
- 3BMeteo has nailed the high for 24 days in a row
- Meteo.it has nailed the high for 24 days in a row
The situation around Caronia
A rainy week around Messina: rain fell on several of the last seven days. Leading for the Caronia area over the last 14 days is Meteo Aeronautica Militare, although its lead over the runner-up is under 3 points. For rain alone, the most accurate service in the provincial capital is Apple Weather, while a third service leads on temperatures. Wind was the defining feature of the week, with strong gusts almost every day. Yesterday, in the check on the provincial capital, the week's No. 2 moved up to No. 1. In nearby municipalities (Santo Stefano di Camastra, Reitano) the leading service does not change. In wet weeks like this one, rain forecasts matter most: they account for three quarters of the score.
Updated on 13 October 2026
Sun and moon today
2 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 5% illuminated
Map of Caronia
Loading map…
Nearby towns
Localities in Caronia
Get to know Caronia
Over the last two months, next-day forecasts for the Messina area had an average accuracy index of 69 out of 100 (average across all services). It is among the hardest areas to forecast in Italy: ranked 62 of 107.
Average accuracy by how far ahead the forecast is made:
- For tomorrow69/100 · fairly reliable
- 2 days ahead70/100 · fairly reliable
- 5 days ahead65/100 · fairly reliable