Trecastagni: which weather forecast is most accurate
Data come from the province of Catania (reference capital: Catania), combined with nearby provinces weighted by distance. Over the last two weeks, Meteo Aeronautica Militare got it wrong least often in this area (59/100).
Yellow alert today for thunderstorms and hydrogeological risk and flood risk
Source: Italian Civil Protection Department · 13 October
Most accurate in this area, last 2 weeks
Meteo Aeronautica Militare
At the province level
Rain nearby, right now
The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Trecastagni, with light intensity.
Observed data from the latest radar sweep (09:50) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection
Yesterday in Catania
Observed data for 11 OctoberThe reference provincial capital for Trecastagni is Catania
How we calculate the score
Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services with data measured in the provincial capitals. The score runs from 0 to 100 and covers the last 14 days: 75% is about forecasting rain and 25% about temperature. Trecastagni is not a measuring point: the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by distance.
How much each province counts
For this town the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by geographic distance.
Provinces considered:
Weather service ranking for this area
- 1Meteo Aeronautica Militare59/100
- 2Apple Weather56/100No public website
- 3Meteo.it55/100
- 4iLMeteo.it52/100
- 53BMeteo51/100
Yesterday's report card
11 OctoberForecasts made the day before for Catania, compared with what actually happened
- 3BMeteoHighspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
- Meteo.itHighspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
- Meteo Aeronautica MilitareHighspot onLowcloseRaincorrect
- iLMeteo.itHighoffLowoffRaincorrect
- Apple WeatherHighcloseLowspot onRainwrong
Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees
Ongoing streaks
- Meteo Aeronautica Militare has nailed the high for 30 days in a row
- Apple Weather has nailed the low for 5 days in a row
- Meteo Aeronautica Militare has called the rain right for 4 days in a row
The situation around Trecastagni
A rainy week around Catania: rain fell on several of the last seven days. The 14-day ranking for the Trecastagni area is led by Meteo Aeronautica Militare. For rain alone, the most accurate service in the provincial capital is iLMeteo.it, while a third service leads on temperatures. Strong wind for most of the week, with intense gusts. Nearby municipalities (Pedara, Viagrande) have the same service in first place. A curious detail: yesterday the service ranked last overall was among the two most accurate on the provincial capital's report card. In wet weeks like this one, rain forecasts matter most: they account for three quarters of the score.
Updated on 13 October 2026
Sun and moon today
2 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 5% illuminated
Map of Trecastagni
Loading map…
Nearby towns
Localities in Trecastagni
Get to know Trecastagni
Over the last two months, next-day forecasts for the Catania area had an average accuracy index of 67 out of 100 (average across all services). It is among the hardest areas to forecast in Italy: ranked 73 of 107.
Average accuracy by how far ahead the forecast is made:
- For tomorrow67/100 · fairly reliable
- 2 days ahead67/100 · fairly reliable
- 5 days ahead62/100 · fairly reliable