Mascalucia: which weather forecast is most accurate
Data come from the province of Catania (reference capital: Catania), combined with nearby provinces weighted by distance. Over the last two weeks, Meteo Aeronautica Militare got it wrong least often in this area (59/100).
Yellow alert today for thunderstorms and hydrogeological risk and flood risk
Source: Italian Civil Protection Department · 13 October
Most accurate in this area, last 2 weeks
Meteo Aeronautica Militare
At the province level
Rain nearby, right now
The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Mascalucia, with light intensity.
Observed data from the latest radar sweep (09:50) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection
Yesterday in Catania
Observed data for 11 OctoberThe reference provincial capital for Mascalucia is Catania
How we calculate the score
Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services with data measured in the provincial capitals. The score runs from 0 to 100 and covers the last 14 days: 75% is about forecasting rain and 25% about temperature. Mascalucia is not a measuring point: the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by distance.
How much each province counts
For this town the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by geographic distance.
Provinces considered:
Weather service ranking for this area
- 1Meteo Aeronautica Militare59/100
- 2Apple Weather55/100No public website
- 3Meteo.it55/100
- 4iLMeteo.it54/100
- 53BMeteo50/100
Yesterday's report card
11 OctoberForecasts made the day before for Catania, compared with what actually happened
- 3BMeteoHighspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
- Meteo.itHighspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
- Meteo Aeronautica MilitareHighspot onLowcloseRaincorrect
- iLMeteo.itHighoffLowoffRaincorrect
- Apple WeatherHighcloseLowspot onRainwrong
Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees
Ongoing streaks
- Meteo Aeronautica Militare has nailed the high for 30 days in a row
- Apple Weather has nailed the low for 5 days in a row
- Meteo Aeronautica Militare has called the rain right for 4 days in a row
The situation around Mascalucia
A wet week around Catania, with frequent precipitation. Leading for the Mascalucia area over the last 14 days is Meteo Aeronautica Militare. On rain alone, iLMeteo.it does better in the provincial capital's data; on temperatures, yet another service is the most accurate. Strong wind for most of the week, with intense gusts. The top-ranked service is the same in nearby municipalities too (San Pietro Clarenza, Gravina di Catania). A curious detail: yesterday the service ranked last overall was among the two most accurate on the provincial capital's report card. In wet weeks like this one, rain forecasts matter most: they account for three quarters of the score.
Updated on 13 October 2026
Sun and moon today
2 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 5% illuminated
Map of Mascalucia
Loading map…
Nearby towns
Localities in Mascalucia
Get to know Mascalucia
Over the last two months, next-day forecasts for the Catania area had an average accuracy index of 67 out of 100 (average across all services). It is among the hardest areas to forecast in Italy: ranked 73 of 107.
Average accuracy by how far ahead the forecast is made:
- For tomorrow67/100 · fairly reliable
- 2 days ahead67/100 · fairly reliable
- 5 days ahead62/100 · fairly reliable