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Santa Margherita di Belice: which weather forecast is most accurate

Data come from the province of Agrigento (reference capital: Agrigento), combined with nearby provinces weighted by distance. Over the last two weeks, Meteo Aeronautica Militare got it wrong least often in this area (51/100).

Earthquakes · Santa Margherita di Belice Air quality · Santa Margherita di Belice

No weather alerts today for Santa Margherita di Belice · Source: Italian Civil Protection Department

Most accurate in this area, last 2 weeks

Meteo Aeronautica Militare

Data updated on 12 October 2026 at 14:48

At the province level

Catches 29% of actual rainfall
When it forecasts rain, it gets it right 75% of the time
Across 7 rainy days

Rain nearby, right now

The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Santa Margherita di Belice, with light intensity.

Observed data from the latest radar sweep (10:35) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection

Yesterday in Agrigento

Observed data for 11 October
25°
High
20°
Low
No rain

The reference provincial capital for Santa Margherita di Belice is Agrigento

How we calculate the score

Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services with data measured in the provincial capitals. The score runs from 0 to 100 and covers the last 14 days: 75% is about forecasting rain and 25% about temperature. Santa Margherita di Belice is not a measuring point: the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by distance.

How we measure accuracy
How much each province counts

For this town the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by geographic distance.

Provinces considered:

AG50%TP30%PA10%CL4%EN2%+3 more

Weather service ranking for this area

  1. 1
    Meteo Aeronautica Militare
    51/100
    meteoam.it(opens in a new tab)
  2. 2
    Meteo.it
    48/100
    meteo.it(opens in a new tab)
  3. 3
    3BMeteo
    45/100
    3bmeteo.com(opens in a new tab)
  4. 4
    Apple Weather
    42/100
    No public website
  5. 5
    iLMeteo.it
    38/100
    ilmeteo.it(opens in a new tab)

Yesterday's report card

11 October

Forecasts made the day before for Agrigento, compared with what actually happened

3BMeteoWinner of the day
  • 3BMeteo
    Highspot onLowcloseRaincorrect
  • Meteo Aeronautica Militare
    Highspot onLowcloseRaincorrect
  • Meteo.it
    Highspot onLowcloseRaincorrect
  • Apple Weather
    Highspot onLowoffRaincorrect
  • iLMeteo.it
    HighoffLowoffRainwrong

Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees

Ongoing streaks

  • Meteo Aeronautica Militare has nailed the high for 26 days in a row
  • 3BMeteo has nailed the high for 19 days in a row
  • Meteo.it has nailed the high for 15 days in a row

The situation around Santa Margherita di Belice

Around Agrigento, precipitation was frequent over the past week. Meteo Aeronautica Militare tops the 14-day ranking for the Santa Margherita di Belice area, but by a minimal margin of under 3 points over the second-placed service. Rain and temperatures have different winners: in the provincial capital iLMeteo.it does best on rain, and another service again on temperatures. Worth noting: the wind, strong on several days. Yesterday's report card reshuffled the order: the week's No. 2 finished No. 1. In nearby municipalities (Montevago, Sambuca di Sicilia) the leading service does not change. With this much rain, the part of the score that weighs most is the precipitation forecast (three quarters of the total).

Updated on 13 October 2026

Sun and moon today

07:13
Sunrise
18:34
Sunset
11h 20m
Daylight

2 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday

Waxing crescent, 5% illuminated

Map of Santa Margherita di Belice

Loading map…

Nearby towns

Montevago
7.2 km
Sambuca di Sicilia
8.6 km
Salaparuta
9.3 km
Menfi
10 km

Localities in Santa Margherita di Belice

Contrada Madonna D'Idria
Cotrada Cannitello
Santa Margherita di Belice

Get to know Santa Margherita di Belice

Over the last two months, next-day forecasts for the Agrigento area had an average accuracy index of 64 out of 100 (average across all services). It is among the hardest areas to forecast in Italy: ranked 90 of 107.

Average accuracy by how far ahead the forecast is made:

  • For tomorrow
    64/100 · fairly reliable
  • 2 days ahead
    65/100 · fairly reliable
  • 5 days ahead
    62/100 · fairly reliable
6,544
Inhabitants
084038
ISTAT code
Agrigento (AG) • Sicily